
AI-generated summary
The state election in Saxony-Anhalt is seen as an important test of sentiment for federal politics, especially against the background of the rise of the AfD and the challenges for the CDU under Friedrich Merz.
For Friedrich Merz, the election in Saxony-Anhalt is a debacle, no question. The AfD is the clear election winner, and regardless of whether Ulrich Siegmund's dream of becoming the first AfD Prime Minister of a federal state comes true or not: the Chancellor and CDU chairman have difficult weeks ahead. If he dismisses the result as a mere industrial accident, he is lying to his own pocket.
As is customary, the CDU sent its general secretary in front of the cameras. She seemed visibly shocked and said in her first statement: “The result also affects us Christian Democrats.” It was not clear whether she meant the Chancellor.
But even if Merz wasn't on the ballot: Prime Minister Sven Schulze's bitter defeat is also his defeat, and above all it is a reckoning with Berlin politics. 76 percent of the voters in Saxony-Anhalt surveyed by Civey said before the election that they expected that a strong performance by the AfD in the state would also noticeably change politics at the federal level.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The CDU will review its federal strategy and possibly emphasize more conservative positions to win back AfD voters.
Likely · Within weeks
The AfD will try to repeat its victory in Saxony-Anhalt in other eastern states.
Possible · Within months

A complicated result is emerging in the state elections in Saxony-Anhalt in 2026. The AfD emphasizes that it wants to govern alone, while all other parties rule out cooperation. The CDU needs many partners after its fall. Voter turnout was around 80 percent, comparable to the 2025 federal election. Saxony-Anhalt has a high level of debt of almost 25 billion euros.
In the state elections in Saxony-Anhalt, the AfD achieved a historically strong result and became the strongest force, while the CDU and SPD suffered significant losses. Politicians from both parties warned against drawing false conclusions at the federal level and emphasized the need to secure democratic majorities.
After the AfD election victory in Saxony-Anhalt, Hessian politicians reacted: CDU Prime Minister Boris Rhein thanked Sven Schulze for the election campaign, while the Hessian AfD celebrated the success as a "tremendous success" and the SPD state leader Sören Bartol spoke of a turning point and warned of right-wing extremism.

After a long election evening in Saxony-Anhalt, the BSW has just exceeded the five percent hurdle and is entering the state parliament with five seats, which could give the AfD a possible majority in the prime ministerial election.

After the state elections in Saxony-Anhalt, Ulrich Siegmund celebrates the historic AfD success of 44 percent with his wife Julia on the stage of the Old Theater in Magdeburg, although it narrowly missed an absolute majority.

The AfD won the state elections in Saxony-Anhalt, but does not have an absolute majority. Four scenarios are being discussed as to how the party could still come to power: a missed BSW entry, a coalition with the BSW, an abstention from the BSW in the third ballot or defections from other parties.