
Pesquisa ouviu 2.520 pessoas entre 6 e 7 de outubro; margem de erro de dois pontos percentuais
AI-generated summary
Pesquisa Datafolha realizada entre 6 e 7 de outubro com 2.520 pessoas de 16 anos ou mais em todo o país, com margem de erro de dois pontos percentuais e nível de confiança de 95%.
O Datafolha ouviu 2.520 pessoas de 16 anos ou mais em todo o país, entre os dias 6 e 7 de outubro. A margem de erro é de dois pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos, e o nível de confiança é de 95%. O número de registro da pesquisa na Justiça Eleitoral é BR-0949/2026.
Conforme os dados do Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), Flávio Bolsonaro terminou o 1º turno com 47,03% dos votos, contra 45,16% de Lula. A diferença entre eles foi de cerca de 2,2 milhões de votos. Veja os dados completos da apuração.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Flávio Bolsonaro e Lula disputarão o 2º turno das eleições 2026
Very likely · Within weeks

Minister Cristiano Zanin of the STF rejected an appeal by Eduardo Paes' coalition against the TSE's decision that annulled Anthony Garotinho's votes in the first round of elections in Rio de Janeiro, stating that the Supreme Court does not yet have the competence to analyze the request, as all resources in the TSE have not been exhausted. The annulment of Garotinho's votes changes the calculation of valid votes and allows Douglas Ruas to surpass the absolute majority necessary to win in the first round, without the need for a second round.

Datafolha research released this Thursday (8) shows Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 52% of valid votes against 48% for Lula (PT) in the second round of the 2022 presidential elections, with an increase of five points since the first round. Lula's team claims that there is a technical draw within the margin of error, while Bolsonaro's campaign celebrates the progress and the least rejection.
Flávio Bolsonaro proposes increasing his mandate to up to five years through the PEC, while Lula states that he does not want to commit to the end of the 6x1 scale. The US announces the first public execution in 90 years. The TRE-RJ schedules the retotalization of votes for Saturday, which could declare Douglas Ruas elected governor. Alexandre Moraes determines the beginning of Eduardo Bolsonaro's sentence and orders the cancellation of his passports.
Senator Flávio Bolsonaro proposes PEC to increase his own term of office to up to five years; President Lula states that he does not want to commit to the end of the 6x1 scale; US Secretary of Defense announces first public execution in 90 years; TRE-RJ schedules retotaling of votes for Saturday, which could declare Douglas Ruas elected governor of Rio de Janeiro; Minister Alexandre de Moraes determines the beginning of Eduardo Bolsonaro's sentence and orders the cancellation of his passports.

The president of TRE-RJ, Cláudio de Mello Tavares, ordered the suspension of electoral propaganda on radio and television until the result of the election for governor of Rio de Janeiro is officially defined, after the TSE annulled Anthony Garotinho's votes, which could lead to Douglas Ruas' victory in the first round. The retotalization will be carried out on Saturday at 3 pm, with a deadline for objections after the results are announced.
Senator Flávio Bolsonaro proposes increasing his own term of office to up to five years through PEC; Lula plans to include vice-president Geraldo Alckmin on agendas after calls for 'more Alckmin'; TRE-RJ schedules retotaling of votes for Saturday, which could declare Douglas Ruas elected governor; government supporters claim to have the votes to end the 6x1 scale, while the opposition tries to postpone the vote; Moraes orders the beginning of Eduardo Bolsonaro's sentence and cancellation of passports; Fux asks for access to confidential STF investigations against Bolsonaro and allies.