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BackDatafolha mostra Lula à frente em todos os cenários de 2º turno contra Flávio Bolsonaro e outros candidatos
Datafolha mostra Lula à frente em todos os cenários de 2º turno contra Flávio Bolsonaro e outros candidatos
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G114 minutes agoPolitics1 min readBrazil

Datafolha mostra Lula à frente em todos os cenários de 2º turno contra Flávio Bolsonaro e outros candidatos

Pesquisa encomendada pela Globo e Folha de S.Paulo ouviu 2.002 pessoas entre 8 e 10 de setembro

datafolhalulaflávio bolsonaro

Quick Look

  • Pesquisa Datafolha divulgada nesta sexta-feira (11) mostra Lula (PT) com 46% e Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) com 44% no cenário de 2º turno, mantendo empate técnico.
  • Em outros cenários, Lula lidera sobre Ronaldo Caiado (46% a 41%), Romeu Zema (48% a 39%), Renan Santos (48% a 37%) e Augusto Cury (45% a 43%).
  • A pesquisa ouviu 2.002 pessoas entre 8 e 10 de setembro, com margem de erro de 2 pontos percentuais e nível de confiança de 95%.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

A pesquisa foi encomendada pela Globo e pelo jornal Folha de S.Paulo e testou cinco cenários de 2º turno para a eleição presidencial de 2026, com Lula enfrentando diferentes candidatos da oposição.

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Pesquisa Datafolha divulgada nesta sexta-feira (11) mostra como está a disputa pela Presidência da República nos cenários de 2º turno. O levantamento foi encomendado pela Globo e pelo jornal Folha de S.Paulo.

Na pesquisa anterior, do dia 3 de setembro, Lula (PT) e Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) apareciam em empate técnico com os mesmos índices: o presidente com 46% e o senador com 44%.

O Datafolha testou cinco cenários, em que Lula enfrenta também os candidatos Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), Zema (Novo), Renan Santos (Missão) e Augusto Cury (Avante).

Veja abaixo os números das quatro simulações de 2º turno, com o resultado de agosto entre parênteses.

Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro

Lula (PT): 46% (eram 46%)

Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 44% (eram 44%)

Em branco/nulo/nenhum: 8% (eram 9%)

Indecisos: 1% (eram 2%)

Lula x Ronaldo Caiado

Lula (PT): 46% (eram 46%)

Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 41% (eram 41%)

Em branco/nulo/nenhum: 10% (eram 11%)

Indecisos: 2% (eram 2%)

Lula x Romeu Zema

Lula (PT): 48% (eram 48%)

Romeu Zema (Novo): 39% (eram 39%)

Em branco/nulo/nenhum: 11% (eram 12%)

Indecisos: 2% (eram 2%)

Lula x Renan Santos

Lula (PT): 48% (eram 47%)

Renan Santos (Missão): 37% (eram 38%)

Em branco/nulo/nenhum: 12% (eram 13%)

Indecisos: 2% (eram 2%)

Lula x Augusto Cury

Lula (PT): 45%

Augusto Cury (Avante): 43%

Em branco/nulo/nenhum: 10%

Indecisos: 2%

Esta reportagem está em atualização.

O Datafolha ouviu 2.002 pessoas de 16 anos ou mais entre os dias 8 e 10 de setembro. A margem de erro é de 2 pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos, e o nível de confiança é de 95%. O número de registro no TSE é BR-01833/2026.

Flávio Bolsonaro e Lula — Foto: Reprodução/RBS TV e Divulgação

Open Questions

  • Como os números podem evoluir até as eleições de 2026?
  • Qual o impacto de eventuais alianças partidárias nos cenários apresentados?
  • Como a economia e outros temas podem influenciar a intenção de voto nos próximos meses?

Related Topics

datafolha
PeopleLuiz Inácio Lula da SilvaFlávio BolsonaroRonaldo CaiadoRomeu Zema
OrganizationsDatafolhaGloboFolha de S.PauloPT
PlacesBrasil
Topicslulaflávio bolsonaroronaldo caiadoromeu zemarenan santosaugusto cury
This article was originally published by G1.

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