
AI-generated summary
The French presidential election is scheduled for next spring, and current opinion polls show Marine Le Pen, former leader of the far-right opposition National Coalition, leading the party in approval ratings. Former prime minister Philippe and Attal from the centrist ruling party have expressed their intention to run, but there is no progress toward unification. Although Le Pen was found guilty in an appeals court in a case of embezzlement of public funds, she has maintained her right to run for election and has regained her centripetal force.
[Paris Current Affairs] In 18 days, it will be half a year until next spring's French presidential election. According to opinion polls, Marine Le Pen (58), former leader of the far-right opposition party National Union (RN), which has become a source of social dissatisfaction, remains at the top of the list in terms of approval ratings. Meanwhile, two former prime ministers from the centrist ruling party that supports President Macron (48) intend to run, and unification is an urgent task, but progress is slow.
Far-right Le Pen to run for president despite second trial conviction, regains right to vote - France
"If France doesn't make a political break with the past, it will default on its debts." Earlier this month, Le Pen blamed previous governments for worsening the country's finances and said people needed to vote for her in the presidential election to rebuild.
France's budget deficit significantly exceeds European Union (EU) standards. The plan is to improve the balance of payments by 2029, but it will not be easy to achieve. Accumulated debt has also increased under the Macron administration. The situation is tense, and it can be said to be a tailwind for opposition candidates.
Le Pen was found guilty in July in an appeals court for embezzlement of public funds, but her right to run for election was not suspended and her centripetal power was restored. Four opinion polls released in mid-October showed support for him at 32% to 38% in the first round of the presidential election.
Former Prime Minister Atal (37) announced his candidacy in May against former Prime Minister Philippe (55), who is the centrist candidate. As a result, Philippe's approval rating has fallen to between 12% and 18%, widening the gap between him and Le Pen. Mr. Attal is likely to eventually step down, but a decision is not expected to be made until the new year.
In contrast, Jean-Luc Mélenchon (75) of the radical leftist group ``Indomitable France'' has gained popularity among young people by inciting high school student protests, and is catching up with his approval rating of 14 to 19 percent. However, Le Pen remains in the lead, having received a majority of support in a survey of the run-off election between the top two candidates in the first round.
Le Pen is conciliatory toward Russia, and has vowed to ``stop financial aid to Ukraine'' if elected. France is a member of the European Union, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), and the Group of Seven (G7), so if President Le Pen were to become president, the impact could be wide-ranging.
In recent years, Europe has seen a noticeable shift to the right due to immigration issues. In Italy, the far-right Meloni government was inaugurated in 2022, and in Germany, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) won a series of local elections in September of this year. The far-right VOX (VOX) group is expected to make a big jump in Spain's general election in November.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
There is a possibility that the unification of former Prime Minister Philippe and Atal of the centrist ruling party will proceed after the new year.
Possible · Within months
Le Pen may advance to the presidential run-off and win majority support.
Possible · Within months

French President Emmanuel Macron condemned the arson and looting that took advantage of the large-scale demonstrations that drew 550,000 people across the country, and vowed to hold those involved in the riots accountable. At the same time, he promised that the government would listen to the voices of the high school students and workers who peacefully protested with permission and would work to resolve the issue.

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Large-scale demonstrations have taken place across France to protest improvements to the learning environment and the rising cost of living. Organizers announced that 800,000 people attended, but some turned into rioters, committing arson and looting. Approximately 1,800 people had been arrested by the 18th, and more than 500 people, including police and firefighters, were injured.

On the 17th in France, high school students demanding improved learning environments and labor union officials dissatisfied with the soaring cost of living held a joint demonstration against the government, with an estimated 550,000 participants across the country. Roughly 1,200 people were arrested after the mob mixed in and committed arson, vandalism, and clashes with police. Shops were looted and there were attacks on public buildings in Paris, Lyon, Limoges, Marseille and other cities. President Macron has stressed that he will not tolerate violence, and Interior Minister Nuñez has accused the far left of calling for the riots.