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Back貝洛雅人:中共權力鬥爭與「富不過三代」的政治隱喻
貝洛雅人:中共權力鬥爭與「富不過三代」的政治隱喻
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自由时报1 hour agoPolitics4 min readChinaView translation

貝洛雅人:中共權力鬥爭與「富不過三代」的政治隱喻

剖析張又俠、劉振立遭處置背後的權力博弈與習近平政權的穩定性疑慮

Quick Look

本文討論中共高層權力變動,分析張又俠與劉振立遭開除黨籍與軍籍的政治背景,探討習近平政權面臨的內部挑戰、外交困境及經濟衰退,並以「富不過三代」比喻中共政權的現狀與危機。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

中共中央政治局於9月21日舉行會議,決定召開二十屆五中全會,並強調推進全面從嚴治黨。張又俠與劉振立被指控違紀並遭處置。

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為什麼台灣人常說「富不過三代」?像句咒語,也像一種命運的定律。很多家庭,第一代白手起家,第二代小心守成,到了第三代,就如沙漏一樣,時間一過,錢就跟著流光了。

2022年的中共20大閉幕,出現前總書記胡錦濤「被離場」的畫面,與習近平的互動受到全世界關注。傳當年胡錦濤,溫家寶屬意李克強,江派屬意習近平接班;十億以上的中國人會納悶為什麼選習近平,又胡錦濤將3職位太早給他,也是因習是太子黨嗎?

中共中央政治局9月21日舉行會議。該會議決定,中共二十屆五中全會於10月26日至29日在北京舉行,再次研究所謂「推進全面從嚴治黨」。

中共官方通報聲稱,張又俠、劉振立「與黨離心離德、逾越紅線底線、搞團團伙伙」;利用職務便利為他人職務晉升等提供幫助,收受巨額錢款;違規收受禮品禮金;「不履行全面從嚴治黨政治責任」;對親屬和身邊工作人員失教失管。

陳破空對大紀元表示,所謂「從嚴治黨」應該就是衝著張又俠、劉振立案來的。他又認為張又俠、劉振立親美,反對攻打台灣,對台海要謹慎,要與美國建立好關係。

中共中央軍事委員會副主席張又俠,遭開除黨籍與軍籍。原軍委聯合參謀部參謀長劉振立,同樣被開除黨籍與軍籍。處置兩人是對川普、美國示威、與美國內部聯絡拔除掉;因人大常委會有處理,是講給川普、美國聽,他已重新得大權,得民心。兩人五大罪名,習都有,張又俠是政治局委員,又中央軍事委員副主席,沒簽字;劉振立是中央委員,明年3月人民代表大會才召開。劉振立參謀長拿掉,中央軍委7人剩4人、剩2比2,是荒謬的邏輯;黨中央選擇性整人,欲加之罪,何患無辭,非反腐,廉潔。政治局審議後的最終結論,改稱張又俠、劉振立「嚴重違反政治紀律和政治規矩,搞團團伙伙,對黨不忠誠不老實」,大半年前的一系列罪名「踐踏破壞軍委主席負責制」等消失了。

另一種可能是,中共退休政治局常委,也參加了政治局擴大會議;堅決否定張又俠、劉振立「踐踏破壞軍委主席負責制」等罪名。那是不是就等於變相證實了更多傳聞,比如習近平已經失勢,退休的胡錦濤、溫家寶等實際在掌權,並得到了軍隊的支持?

習對外外交關係搞砸了,對內越反腐越腐敗,經濟大退化又亂花錢。與習絕不妥協,國內外很多人要推翻習近平。江澤民、胡錦濤的時代,不至於那麼嚴重糟糕透頂,真的是「富不過三代」?

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 中共將在二十屆五中全會進一步鞏固習近平的權力核心。

    Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 張又俠與劉振立被處置的真實政治動機為何?
  • 習近平在中共黨內的實際權力穩固程度如何?

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