
AI-generated summary
The Aegean Sea has long been a source of tension between Türkiye and Greece over maritime jurisdictions, continental shelf and research activities. Due to energy resources and strategic location in the region, military and diplomatic tensions have increased between the two countries from time to time.
According to the hypothetical scenario, if Türkiye mobilizes its military units in a crisis that may arise due to maritime jurisdictions or research activities in the Aegean, Athens may consider this as preparation for an attack. In the scenario, it was assumed that Turkey loaded its landing ships with fuel and war materials and put its UAV fleets and Bora and Tayfun ballistic missiles to the highest readiness level. It was stated that in the first stage of the scenario, Greek intelligence will detect the movements of Turkish forces with satellite data provided by allies.
It was noted that if the intelligence turns out to be incorrect or incomplete, there is a risk that the person who made the first attack will be described as an aggressor in the international arena and lose diplomatic support.
It would be advantageous
In the second stage, it was claimed that Greece could try to neutralize Turkish radar and communication systems with electronic warfare systems, target runways at some bases in Turkey with warplanes, and hit Turkish landing elements with missiles.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Diplomatic talks between Türkiye and Greece will increase and efforts will be made to reduce tensions.
Likely · Within weeks
Military preparedness levels will be kept high in the short term, but direct conflict will be avoided.
Possible · Within days

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