BackQuaest survey in Rondônia shows Flávio Bolsonaro with 53% and Lula with 19% in the presidential race
Quaest survey in Rondônia shows Flávio Bolsonaro with 53% and Lula with 19% in the presidential race
Developing
G147 minutes agoPolitics1 min readBrazilView original

Quaest survey in Rondônia shows Flávio Bolsonaro with 53% and Lula with 19% in the presidential race

Survey commissioned by Rede Amazônica interviewed 804 people between September 20th and 23rd; margin of error of 3 percentage points

Quick Look

  • Quaest survey released this Thursday (24) shows Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 53% of voting intentions in the 1st round of the Presidency in Rondônia, followed by Lula (PT) with 19%.
  • Augusto Cury (Avante) has 4%, Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) 3% and Renan Santos (Missão) 2%.
  • For 85% of voters, the choice is final.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The Quaest research was commissioned by Rede Amazônica and registered with the TSE under numbers RO-08556/2026 and BR-06511/2026. Heard 804 people aged 16 or over between September 20th and 23rd, 2026. The margin of error is 3 percentage points and the confidence level is 95%.

Font size

Quaest in RO: Flávio Bolsonaro, 53%; Lula, 19%; Augusto Cury, 4%; Ronaldo Caiado, 3%; Renan Santos, 2% — Photo: Reproduction/personal collection

Quaest survey released this Thursday (24) shows how the dispute for the Presidency of the Republic is going in the 1st round among voters in Rondônia. The survey was commissioned by Rede Amazônica.

See below the results of the stimulated survey, in which Quaest shows the list of candidates to the voters interviewed.

Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 53% (was 45%)

Lula (PT): 19% (was 25%)

Writer Augusto Cury (Avante): 4% (was 1%)

Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 3% (was 3%)

Renan Santos (Mission): 2% (was 3%)

Samara Martins (UP): 1% (was 0%)

Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO): 0% (was 0%)

Clariana Barão (DC): 0% (was 1%)

Romeu Zema (New): 0% (was 2%)

Edmilson Costa (PCB): 0% (was 0%)

Hertz Dias (PSTU): 0% (was 0%)

Leonardo Avalanche (PRTB): 0% (was not in the previous survey*)

Veterinarian Wilson Grassi (Democrat): 0% (was 1%)

Blank/null/will not vote: 6% (was 7%)

Undecided: 12% (was 12%)

*Leonardo Avalanche returned to be the PRTB candidate after the Electoral Court barred Pablo Marçal, who is ineligible.

For 85% of voters interviewed in the survey, the choice of candidate is definitive. Another 15% say they can still change their vote until the elections on October 4th.

Quaest interviewed 804 people aged 16 and over between the 20th and 23rd of September. The margin of error is 3 percentage points, plus or minus, and the confidence level is 95%. The survey was registered with the TSE under numbers RO-08556/2026 and BR-06511/2026.

Approval and evaluation of the Lula government

Government approval

Disapprove: 63% (was 56%)

Approves: 30% (was 35%)

Don't know/didn't answer: 7% (was 9%)

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • Flávio Bolsonaro will maintain leadership in voting intentions in Rondônia until the 2026 elections

    Likely · Within months

  • Lula will need a specific strategy to regain support in Rondônia

    Possible · Within months

Open Questions

  • How do voting intentions in Rondônia compare to national averages?
  • What is the impact of Pablo Marçal's ineligibility on PRTB's candidacy?
  • Why was there a drop in the approval of the Lula government in Rondônia?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by G1.

Related Stories

Ivan Moraes promises to reinforce Sassepe teams and pay minimum wages in a meeting with SUS workers
Developing·

Ivan Moraes promises to reinforce Sassepe teams and pay minimum wages in a meeting with SUS workers

Candidate Ivan Moraes declared, in a meeting with representatives of the Association in Defense of SUS Workers in Pernambuco, that he intends to pay the minimum salary for the categories and hold competitions to recompose the Sassepe teams, in addition to strengthening the public health service and avoiding dependence on private organizations. He also signed a letter of commitment to the category's demands and participated in an act in defense of national sovereignty, democracy and public universities at UFPE.

G1
1 min read
Candidates fulfill campaign agendas in Maranhão with a focus on economic development
Developing·

Candidates fulfill campaign agendas in Maranhão with a focus on economic development

Candidates for the state elections in Maranhão fulfilled their campaign agendas this Friday, with André Luís canceling morning activities due to health problems and participating in an online meeting in the afternoon, while Reginaldo Lima visited quilombola communities in Cantanhede. The first round of elections will be on October 4th and the second, if necessary, on October 25th.

G1
1 min read
More on this topicalmost