Lucas Ribeiro (PP), Efraim Filho (PL) and Cícero Lucena (MDB), candidates for the Government of Paraíba — Photo: Gustavo Demétrio/g1 Paraíba
Quaest research released this Tuesday (22) shows how the dispute for the government of Paraíba is going. The survey was commissioned by TVs Cabo Branco and Paraíba.
See below the results of the stimulated survey, in which Quaest shows the list of candidates to the voters interviewed.
Lucas Ribeiro (PP): 49% (was 38% on 8/25)
Efraim Filho (PL): 16% (it was 18% on 8/25)
Cícero Lucena (MDB): 15% (it was 19% on 8/25)
Pedro Coutinho (DC): 1% (was 2% on 8/25)
Camilo Duarte (PCO): 0% (was 1% on 8/25)
Yuri Ezequiel (UP): 0% (was 0% on 8/25)
Blank/null/will not vote: 7% (was 10% on 8/25)
Undecided: 12% (was 12% on 8/25)
For 74% of voters interviewed in the survey, the choice of candidate is definitive. This total was 69% in the previous survey. Another 25% say they can still change their vote until the elections on October 4th. It was 30% in the previous survey.
Quaest interviewed 804 people aged 16 or over between September 18 and 21, 2026. The margin of error is 3 percentage points, plus or minus, and the confidence level is 95%. The TSE registration number is PB-01325/2026.
Spontaneous survey numbers
Quaest also shows the results of the spontaneous poll, in which the names of the candidates are not shown to voters.
Lucas Ribeiro (PP): 37% (was 26% on 8/25)
Efraim Filho (PL): 10% (was 7% on 8/25)
Cícero Lucena (MDB): 7% (was 7% on 08/25)
Other names: 1% (was 1% on 8/25)
Blank/null/will not vote: 3% (was 2% on 8/25)
Undecided: 42% (was 57% on 8/25)
2nd round scenarios
The research brings 3 2nd round simulations. The data is below:
Scenario 1
Lucas Ribeiro (PP): 54% (was 48% on 8/25)
Cícero Lucena (MDB): 25% (was 29% on 8/25)
Blank/null/none: 12% (was 14% on 8/25)
Undecided: 9% (was 9% on 08/25)
Scenario 2
Lucas Ribeiro (PP): 56% (was 47% on 8/25)
Efraim Filho (PL): 24% (was 33% on 8/25)
Blank/null/none: 11% (was 11% on 8/25)
Undecided: 9% (was 9% on 8/25)
Scenario 3
Cícero Lucena (MDB): 37% (it was 39%, on 8/25)
Efraim Filho (PL): 32% (was 32% on 8/25)
Blank/null/none: 20% (was 19% on 8/25)
Undecided: 11% (was 10% on 8/25)
Main problem of the state
Quaest asked voters what the state's main problem is. See the most cited themes.
Violence: 33% (was 23%)
Health: 29% (was 31%)
Another 23% (was 28%)
Unemployment: 6% (was 5%)
No problem/no problem: 2% (was 2%)
Don't know/didn't answer: 8% (was 10%)
Candidate rejection rate
Quaest also consulted voters about each of the candidates: if they know them and would vote, if they don't know them or if they know them and wouldn't vote. The most rejected candidates (highest rates of "know and wouldn't vote") are Cícero Lucena and Efraim Filho.
Lucas Ribeiro (PP)
Knows and would vote: 56% (was 48% on 8/25)
Don't know: 23% (was 30% on 8/25)
Knows and wouldn't vote: 21% (was 22% on 8/25)
Cicero Lucena (MDB)
Knows and would vote: 36% (was 35% on 8/25)
Don't know: 16% (it was 19% on 8/25)
Knows and would not vote: 48% (was 46% on 8/25)
Efraim Filho (PL)
Knows and would vote: 33% (was 34% on 8/25)
Don't know: 20% (it was 20% on 8/25)
Knows and would not vote: 47% (was 46% on 8/25)
Pedro Coutinho (DC))
Knows and would vote: 7% (was 8% on 8/25)
Don't know: 67% (it was 67% on 8/25)
Knows and wouldn't vote: 23% (was 25% on 8/25)
Camilo Duarte (PCO)
Knows and would vote: 4% (was 2% on 8/25)
Don't know: 86% (it was 86% on 8/25)
Knows and wouldn't vote: 10% (it was 12% on 8/25)
Yuru Ezequiel (UP)
Knows and would vote: 2% (was 1% on 8/25)
Don't know: 92% (it was 92% on 8/25)
Knows and wouldn't vote: 6% (was 7% on 8/25)
Government Approval and Assessment
The research also shows the evaluation of Lucas Ribeiro's government and the approval and disapproval ratings.
Government approval
Approves: 64% (was 61%)
Disapprove: 16% (was 17%)
Don't know/didn't answer: 20% (was 22%)
Government assessment
Positive: 54% (was 47%)
Regular: 28 (was 29%)
Negative: 7% (was 13%)
Don't know/didn't answer: 11% (was 11%)
Does João Azevêdo deserve to elect a successor?
Yes, it deserves it: 70% (was 65%)
No: 20% (was 24%)
Don't know/didn't answer: 10% (was 11%)
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