
According to an AtlasIntel poll for Bloomberg, Flávio Bolsonaro would get 47.7 percent. votes in the second round of elections, overtaking Lula da Silva by 0.1 percentage point, which is within the margin of statistical error.
AI-generated summary
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva defeated Jair Bolsonaro in the 2022 elections. In 2023, Bolsonaro's supporters attacked state institutions in Brasília.
An AtlasIntel poll for Bloomberg published on Tuesday shows that Flávio Bolsonaro would receive 47.7 percent in the second round. votes. 47.6% would vote for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. respondents.
However, it should be noted that the difference of 0.1 percentage point is within the statistical error of the study.
Fierce fight for the presidency
Other studies published in recent weeks also indicated a very even competition. In some of them, incumbent president Lula da Silva had a slight advantage.
The first round of the presidential elections in Brazil is scheduled for October 4. If none of the candidates obtains the required majority, a second round will be held three weeks later. Everything indicates that the current leader will face Bolsonaro.
Son of the former president
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva returned to power after the elections at the end of 2022, in which he defeated then-President Jair Bolsonaro, Flavio's father.
In January 2023, supporters of Jair Bolsonaro, questioning the election results, attacked the most important state institutions in Brasília, the country's capital. Last September, the Brazilian Supreme Court declared these events a failed coup attempt.
Jair Bolsonaro was sentenced to 27 years and three months in prison and is currently under house arrest.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The first round of the presidential elections will take place on October 4.
Very likely · Within months

Joanna Górska in RMF FM will discuss the political situation after the elections in Krakow, the failed referendum in Warsaw, the proposal of mandatory defense training, the crisis around the Constitutional Tribunal and the future of the Senate pact.

The government adopted the final draft of the budget act for 2027 and an amendment raising the first tax threshold to PLN 130,000. zloty. The documents will be submitted to the Sejm in accordance with the constitutional deadline by the end of September.

The Court of Justice of the European Union dismissed Poland's request to suspend the implementation of the EU Council's decision on the provisional application of the EU-Mercosur interim agreement.

The Council of Ministers is dealing with the draft budget act for 2027 and three tax thresholds in PIT. Prime Minister Donald Tusk criticized the attitude of the Presidential Palace regarding taxes and fuel prices.

The Osuchowa Foundation, associated with the politicians of the Confederation of the Crown of Poland, Grzegorz Braun and Włodzimierz Skalik, is controlled by the Chancellery of the Prime Minister. Investigators suspect that the organization used funds from the 1.5% tax for political activities.

Profile of Monika Piątkowska, senator of the Civic Coalition and candidate in the early elections for the president of Krakow in 2026. The article discusses her career in local government, central administration and economic organizations as well as the filters of her electoral program.