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Back|熱帶性低氣壓TD28預估今晚增強為杜鵑颱風,朝日本接近機率較高
熱帶性低氣壓TD28預估今晚增強為杜鵑颱風,朝日本接近機率較高
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自由时报·yesterday·Weather·1 min read·🇨🇳China

熱帶性低氣壓TD28預估今晚增強為杜鵑颱風,朝日本接近機率較高

Quick Look

位於關島東方海面的熱帶性低氣壓TD28持續發展,預估今晚將增強為輕度颱風杜鵑,朝日本關西至東北一帶接近機率較高,但距離仍遠,後期路徑變數不小。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

熱帶性低氣壓TD28位於關島東方海面,目前正在發展中,預估將增強為颱風杜鵑。

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位於關島東方海面的熱帶性低氣壓「TD28」持續發展,最快今晚(15日)將增強為颱風「杜鵑」,預估朝日本接近機率較高,不過距離仍遠,後期路徑變數依然不小。

根據中央氣象署觀測顯示,熱帶性低氣壓「TD28」今上午8時的中心位置在北緯13.8度、東經150度,即在關島東方海面,距離鵝鑾鼻東方約3210公里之處,以每小時10轉15公里速度,向北北西進行,有發展為輕度颱風「杜鵑」的趨勢。日本氣象廳也預估最快今晚就會成颱。

請繼續往下閱讀...

臉書天氣粉專「台灣颱風論壇─天氣特急」分析熱帶系統動態,目前準杜鵑距離台灣約3千多公里,未來幾天將沿著太平洋高壓邊緣持續移動,預計下週逐漸轉向日本附近海域。

現階段來看,後續朝日本關西至東北一帶接近的機率較高,甚至不排除直接侵襲日本陸地;不過「颱風論壇」指出,不過目前距離仍遠,後期路徑變數依然不小,仍要視太平洋高壓強弱與位置變化而定,持續觀察。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 杜鵑颱風將於今晚增強為輕度颱風

    Likely · Within hours

  • 杜鵑颱風將朝日本關西至東北一帶接近

    Possible · Within days

Open Questions

  • ?杜鵑颱風是否會直接登陸日本?
  • ?颱風對日本的具體影響程度如何?
  • ?太平洋高壓的未來變化將如何影響杜鵑的路徑?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

Quick Look

位於關島東方海面的熱帶性低氣壓TD28持續發展,預估今晚將增強為輕度颱風杜鵑,朝日本關西至東北一帶接近機率較高,但距離仍遠,後期路徑變數不小。

AI-generated summary

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Moderate
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自由时报
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Published
yesterday
杜鵑颱風
TD28
熱帶性低氣壓
杜鵑颱風
中央氣象署
日本氣象廳
台灣颱風論壇─天氣特急
關島
鵝鑾鼻
日本關西
日本東北
TD28
熱帶性低氣壓
日本
關島
太平洋高壓
路徑變數

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