Latest poll shows Marine Leban leading in 2027 French presidential election
Quick Look
The latest polls show that far-right leader Marine Leban is leading the 2027 French presidential election and may face off against far-left Mélenchon, highlighting the bipolar confrontation trend in French politics.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
France is expected to hold a presidential election in 2027, and the term of current President Macron will expire.
According to the latest polls, far-right political leader Marine Le Pen is leading the 2027 French presidential election.
Extremism has been fermenting in Europe in recent years. According to the latest polls, in France, which is about to hold a presidential election in 2027, Marine Le Pen, the leader of the far-right National Rally (NR), is firmly in the lead and may face off against Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the leader of the far-left French party LFI, showing that French politics is falling into a bipolar confrontation trend.
Reuters reported that a presidential election poll conducted by "Toluna Harris Interactive" from the 8th to the 10th revealed that Marine Leban topped the simulated scenarios of the first round of voting, with vote rates ranging from 33% to 36%; Melanchon ranked second in 3 of the 5 simulated scenarios, but after entering the second round of voting, he will still not be Marine Leban's opponent; center-right former Prime Minister Philippe (Edouard) Philippe) surpassed and tied with Mélanchon in two simulated scenarios, and is highly competitive among other candidates.
Reuters pointed out that as the era of President Macron is coming to an end, this unpopular president has left behind a political legacy of hollow centrist power and a weak economy, creating conditions and space for extreme politicians such as Marine Leban and Melanchon to thrive.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
French presidential election to be held in 2027
Very likely · Within months
Open Questions
- Will other centrist candidates be able to consolidate public opinion in the future?
- Will extreme political forces further affect French economic policy?





