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Back巴西總統大選民調:佛拉維歐支持度追平魯拉
巴西總統大選民調:佛拉維歐支持度追平魯拉
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自由时报2 hours agoPolitics1 min readChinaView translation

巴西總統大選民調:佛拉維歐支持度追平魯拉

距離大選僅剩5天,最新民調顯示佛拉維歐與魯拉在第二輪決選中支持度幾乎持平。

Quick Look

巴西總統大選倒數5天,最新AtlasIntel民調顯示,前總統波索納洛之子佛拉維歐支持度已追上現任總統魯拉。在模擬第二輪決選中,佛拉維歐以47.7%微幅領先魯拉的47.6%。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

巴西總統大選將於5天後舉行,若第一輪無候選人獲得超過50%選票,將進入第二輪決選。

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巴西總統大選進入倒5天。最新民調指出,前總統波索納洛(Jair Bolsonaro)之子佛拉維歐(Flavio Bolsonaro)的支持度已追上現任總統魯拉(Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva),兩者在民調數字上幾乎持平。

現年45歲的佛拉維歐是前任總統波索納洛(Jair Bolsonaro)的長子,他目前擔任國會參議員。

《路透》報導,最新民調顯示,在模擬大選第一輪投票的情境下,現任總統魯拉獲得了45.3%的選民支持,排在第二的是佛拉維歐的42.2%,桑托斯(Renan Santos)以5.2%排行第三。

根據巴西選舉法規,若第一輪沒有候選人獲得50%以上的選票,則由得票率前兩名領先者進入第二輪決選。

民調顯示,在模擬第二輪決選中,佛拉維歐的支持度提升到47.7%,微幅領先魯拉的47.6%。

這份民調是由《彭博》民調機構AtlasIntel合作發布,調查期間為9月23日到28日,受訪者共5005人。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 若無候選人獲50%以上選票,將舉行第二輪決選。

    Very likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 最終投票率將如何影響選舉結果?
  • 其他候選人的支持者將如何分配選票?

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