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Back全球8月氣溫創歷史新高,專家警告未來將更惡劣
全球8月氣溫創歷史新高,專家警告未來將更惡劣
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自由时报2 hours agoEnvironment2 min readChinaView translation

全球8月氣溫創歷史新高,專家警告未來將更惡劣

Quick Look

歐洲氣候監測單位指出,2024年8月是有紀錄以來全球最熱月份,全球平均氣溫達16.96°C,海洋溫度亦創新高。專家警告,隨著聖嬰現象增強,未來極端高溫將更頻繁,2026年與2027年可能持續打破紀錄。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

文章指出,受聖嬰現象與長期氣候變遷雙重影響,全球陸地與海洋溫度在2024年8月達歷史最高,部分地區出現持續超過60天的海洋熱浪。

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2026年6月24日,法國南部城市土魯斯1家藥局的招牌在熱浪來襲時,顯示氣溫高達48°C。(法新社檔案照)

首次上稿 9-10 22:50

更新時間 9-11 06:04

歐洲氣候監測單位10日指出,今年8月是有紀錄以來全球最熱的1個月,海洋溫度也創新高;專家警告,隨著空前的聖嬰現象(El Nino)模式強化,情況在未來恐將更糟。

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全球的陸地與海洋溫度在今年8月飆至史上最高,充斥熱浪與野火的極端夏季在西歐與美國本土都創下最熱紀錄。

「哥白尼氣候變化服務」(Copernicus Climate Change Service)指出,今年8月的全球平均氣溫為16.96°C,比2023年7月的單月最高氣溫紀錄還高0.01°C;由於差距不大,這2個月可並列為史上最熱月份。

負責監管「哥白尼氣候變化服務」的「歐洲中期天氣預報中心」(European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts)氣候策略主管勃吉斯(Samantha Burgess)告訴記者:「人類可以說至少在過去10萬年來,從未經歷過像今天這麼熱的氣溫。」

此外,今年8月的全球海面溫度創下歷史單日新高,以及追平歷來海洋最熱月份的紀錄。法國「梅爾卡托海洋國際組織」(Mercator Ocean International)的根尼普(Simon van Gennip)表示,今夏罕見高溫也導致海洋溫度連續3個月創新高;部分海域的海洋熱浪甚至持續超過60天,凸顯此等高溫炎熱情況的「異常與持久」。

即便如此,氣候學家警告,今年8月的極端高溫只是預演,最慘的情況尚未降臨;預計在聖嬰現象達到頂峰後,2027年將成為破紀錄的1年。勃吉斯指出,2026年也不遑多讓,氣候變遷與聖嬰現象的雙重打擊,意味許多紀錄會在未來6個月被不斷打破。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 2026年將持續打破氣溫紀錄,因氣候變遷與聖嬰現象的雙重影響

    Likely · Within months

  • 2027年將成為有紀錄以來最熱的一年

    Likely · Within years

Open Questions

  • 具體哪些地區將在未來六個月內經歷最極端的高溫?
  • 各國政府目前有哪些具體應對極端高溫的防災措施?
  • 聖嬰現象的峰值預計何時到來,強度將達到多少?

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