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国家信息中心高频数据透视中国经济:8月消费、新基建与外贸释放积极信号
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中国新闻网12 minutes agoBusiness6 min readChina

国家信息中心高频数据透视中国经济:8月消费、新基建与外贸释放积极信号

8月消费金额增速连续2个月回升,算力相关基础设施项目中标金额同比增长近八成,外贸出口保持韧性。

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国家发展改革委国家信息中心发布的高频数据显示,8月中国消费基本盘巩固、新基建投资火热、外贸出口保持韧性。其中消费支付金额增速连续2个月上升,算力相关基础设施项目中标金额同比增近八成。

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Why It Matters

国家发展改革委国家信息中心通过高频数据监测宏观经济运行状况。

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国家发展改革委国家信息中心最新出炉的高频数据透露出中国经济积极信号:8月,消费基本盘巩固,新基建投资火热,外贸出口保持韧性。其中,8月消费金额增速继续回升;投资方面,8月与算力相关的基础设施项目中标金额同比增长近八成。

消费方面,从暑期文旅的火爆到街头巷尾的烟火气,从电子产品更新换代到家电以旧换新,消费市场的暖意正在渗透到日常生活多方面。

线下消费大数据显示,8月各类消费支付金额同比增长2.6%,增速较上月提高0.4个百分点,连续2个月上升,其中商品消费、服务消费同比分别增长4.4%、0.6%,增速较上月分别提高0.4、0.2个百分点。

具体看,电子商品类、家用电器与音像器材类、食品烟酒类、餐饮服务类、交通服务类支付金额回暖势头明显,增速分别为12.2%、10.1%、8.9%、6.2%、5.1%。

反映中小型商户活力的收钱吧实体商业活力指数为83.3,较上月提高1.7%,其中假日消费活跃度指数较上月增长2.9%。中小商户的活力持续回升,意味着消费复苏的覆盖面在扩大、包容性在增强,为经济循环注入了更广泛的微观活力。

投资方面,传统基建稳步推进的同时,以算力网为代表的新基建、以人工智能为代表的前沿领域吸引大量资金投入。

8月,与算力相关的基础设施项目中标金额同比增长近八成。资本投资数据显示,8月人工智能、人形机器人等前沿领域资本投资金额同比增长101.6%。

国家发展改革委国家信息中心大数据发展部副研究员邢玉冠表示,投资结构的优化,既体现了政策引导的精准性,也反映了市场主体的信心修复。当新基建与新产业形成共振,投资对高质量发展的支撑作用就会从量变走向质变。

外贸方面,8月主要港口货运船舶离港载重同比增长16.5%,其中集装箱船同比增长23.4%,滚装货船同比增长141.0%,汽车仍保持较好出口势头。

在复杂多变的国际环境中,外贸的稳定性来之不易,这既得益于产业链供应链的深厚积淀,也离不开高水平对外开放的持续推进。“企业依托国内完备的产业体系优势,不断拓展全球市场,持续深化多元市场布局,使外贸领域新增长点不断涌现,彰显出中国经济的强大抗压能力。”邢玉冠说。

产业方面,东部经济大省稳健增长,西部省份加速崛起,不同地区立足资源禀赋各展所长。

8月,浙江、广东、江苏、福建等经济大省工业园区生产热度指数保持正增长,云南、重庆、贵州、广西等省(自治区、直辖市)同比分别增长7.2%、5.1%、4.6%、4.4%,增速较突出。这种多点支撑、梯度发展的格局,既拓展了产业发展的回旋空间,也形成了区域间的良性互动。

邢玉冠表示,放在全球视野下观察,8月的中国经济传递出难能可贵的确定性。当外部环境充满变数,中国消费基本盘的巩固、新基建投资的热度、外贸出口的韧性,这些不是孤立的好消息,而是政策优势、规模优势、产业链优势共同构成的“稳定锚”,成为中国经济抵御风险、不断发展的坚实底气。

Open Questions

  • 未来几个月消费增速能否持续回升?
  • 新基建投资的具体项目落地情况如何?

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This article was originally published by 中国新闻网.

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