Neue Zurich Zeitung (NZZ) produced an 11-minute special video on Taiwan security.
The video begins with "When will China attack Taiwan?" and provides an in-depth analysis of cross-strait military strength, geopolitics, and global strategic significance. It also points out that China's current main strategy against Taiwan is not necessarily to launch a military invasion, but to engage in psychological warfare through continued pressure and attrition.
The report quoted data from the Ministry of National Defense that in 2025, Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone recorded more than 3,700 co-aircraft operations, an increase of about a quarter from 2024. In April 2026 alone, there were a total of 229 sorties, of which 169 entered the Taiwan Air Defense Identification Zone. Data are released every day, showing that China’s military threat to Taiwan continues to rise.
In addition, China is also expanding its influence in the South China Sea, including building military bases, claiming territory and controlling waterways. Satellite images show that China has also built a landing trestle about 800 meters long along the coast and conducted military exercises. The report pointed out that the terrain of Taiwan's coast is complex and there are limited locations suitable for large-scale landings. The Communist Army is testing such equipment to solve the problem of how to land heavy vehicles and equipment.
The report also showed satellite photos of the desert in Inner Mongolia, showing two facilities. One area is a replica of a Taipei street, while the other is a replica of a government office and airport.
The report emphasized that Taiwan is located in an important strategic location in the Western Pacific in the "First Island Chain". For Beijing, Taiwan not only symbolizes national unity and regime legitimacy, but is also an important key to the geopolitical layout.
At the international level, the report specifically mentioned Japan's position. Japan believes that once a war breaks out in the Taiwan Strait, it will directly pose a security threat to Japan, so Japan may have reasons for military intervention. As for whether the United States will intervene in the conflict, it is still full of uncertainty. However, "uncertainty" itself is the "strategic ambiguity" policy pursued by the United States for a long time. Its purpose is to increase the cost of China's decision-making and make it difficult for Beijing to assess the actual risk of using force against Taiwan.
Neue Zurich quoted a study by the British think tank Chatham House as pointing out that the impact of a war in the Taiwan Strait may be more serious than the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Because a full-scale invasion of Taiwan will bring huge military, geopolitical and economic risks.
Swedish media estimate that the possibility of China launching a military invasion is not high. Therefore, Beijing is adopting a subtle "strategy of attrition and intimidation." Its goal is not to immediately take over Taiwan through war, but to use long-term pressure to induce Taiwan to gradually accept what China calls "peaceful reunification."
The report also stated that the chairman of the Kuomintang recently traveled to China and completely repeated China's official statement, constantly conveying the message that "Taiwan is fragile" to the outside world in unison with China, and at the same time consuming Taiwan internally. Taiwan's ruling and opposition parties are also fiercely opposed in their policies towards China, and the country lacks a consistent strategic direction. It may be more difficult for Taiwan to form a solid consensus in the face of long-term pressure from China.
Neue Züricher Zeitung pointed out that Taiwan is in a state of "boiling frogs in warm water": Beijing does not need to launch a military invasion immediately. It only needs to increase the pressure a little bit every day, so that Taiwanese society will gradually feel tired and powerless, and start to think repeatedly about "how much longer can we endure". In the end, most people may think that the price of reunification is relatively small.
For related videos, please see:
"Eroberung ohne Krieg: Chinas Plan mit Taiwan"
Neue Zurich Zeitung (NZZ) produced an 11-minute special video on Taiwan's security, which provides an in-depth analysis of cross-strait military strength, geopolitics and global strategic significance. The Neue Zurich Zeitung (NZZ) building is located on the shores of Lake Zurich and is one of the largest and oldest newspapers in Switzerland. (Central News Agency)
