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Back日本氣象廳發布烈風警報 擾動90W最快明晨增強為颱風杜鵑
日本氣象廳發布烈風警報 擾動90W最快明晨增強為颱風杜鵑
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自由时报1 hour agoWeather1 min readChinaView translation

日本氣象廳發布烈風警報 擾動90W最快明晨增強為颱風杜鵑

日本氣象廳擾動90W颱風杜鵑

Quick Look

日本氣象廳對關島東方海面的擾動90W發布烈風警報，預計最快於15日早晨增強為第25號颱風杜鵑，未來將向琉球群島東南方移動，後續轉向日本機率較高，需持續觀察。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

日本氣象廳監測到關島東方海面的擾動90W已增強為熱帶低壓，並發布烈風警報，預計最快於15日早晨發展為第25號颱風杜鵑。

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日本氣象廳發布「烈風警報」（GW），擾動90W最快明早增強為颱風「杜鵑」。（圖擷自日本氣象廳）

位於關島附近海面的擾動「90W」持續發展，最快明（15日）增強為颱風「杜鵑」（Dujuan，中國提供），預估未來將朝琉球群島東南方海域移動，後續轉向日本機率較高，應持續觀察。

根據日本氣象廳觀測顯示，擾動「90W」已經增強為熱帶低壓，今上午9點的位置在北緯12.1度、東經154.8度，即在關島東方海面，向西緩慢移動進行。日本氣象廳對其發布「烈風警報」（GW），最快明早增強為第25號颱風「杜鵑」。（氣象署編號24號）

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中央大學大氣系兼任副教授吳德榮今在「氣象應用推廣基金會」專欄撰文指出，「杜鵑」颱風生成後將發展為「強聖嬰年」之強颱。

路徑部分，氣象粉專「台灣颱風論壇｜天氣特急」指出，以目前資料來看，靠近日本沖繩前，大角度轉向日本機率較高，而一路西行往台灣或中國靠近的機率「低」，至於影響日本程度仍有待觀察。

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 颱風杜鵑將於未來數日內朝琉球群島東南方海域移動，後續轉向日本機率較高

    Likely · Within days

  • 颱風杜鵑生成後將發展為『強聖嬰年』之強颱

    Possible · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 颱風杜鵑最終將對日本哪些地區造成具體影響？
  • 颱風杜鵑的強度將達到什麼程度？
  • 是否會對台灣或中國造成間接影響？

Related Topics

日本氣象廳
People吳德榮
Organizations中央大學氣象應用推廣基金會台灣颱風論壇｜天氣特急
Places關島琉球群島日本
Topics擾動90W颱風杜鵑烈風警報琉球群島關島熱帶低壓
This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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