AfD reaches 40 percent in Brandenburg - SPD half as strong, CDU only in single digits

The AfD in Brandenburg reached the 40 percent mark in a recent survey - twice as high as Prime Minister Dietmar Woidke's SPD. In the representative survey by the opinion research institute Insa on behalf of the “Märkischer Allgemeiner Zeitung”, “Märkischer Oderzeitung” and “Lausitzer Rundschau”, the Social Democrats came to 20 percent.

Compared to the Insa survey from March, the AfD gained six percentage points, while the SPD lost four percentage points. The CDU lost five percentage points - and is now only in the single digits at nine percent in Brandenburg.

If there were a state election on Sunday, the Left would also get nine percent. This means she gains two points and would move back into the state parliament. The Greens would also get seven percent, i.e. two points more than in March, and would be represented in the state parliament again. The BSW would still be in parliament with seven percent. However, compared to the state election in 2024, the value has almost halved.

The survey results at a glance:

AfD: 40 percent (+6)

SPD: 20 percent (-4)

CDU: 9 percent (-5)

Left: 9 percent (+2)

Greens: 7 percent (+2)

AfD also ahead of the Union nationwide

At the federal level, the AfD is also ahead of the Union in current surveys. In a survey by the opinion research institute Ipsos, the AfD achieved 28 percent, gaining one percentage point. The CDU and CSU, on the other hand, lose one point and together only get 20 percent. This is the lowest value that Ipsos has measured for the Union since it began its surveys in 2016.

The SPD gained one percentage point nationwide to 13 percent. The Greens remain unchanged at 15 percent, while the Left loses one point and falls to twelve percent. The FDP and BSW are below the five percent threshold at four and three percent respectively.

Election surveys are generally subject to uncertainty. Among other things, weakening party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. Surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the election outcome.