
AI-generated summary
US inflation in August rose 3.4% year-on-year. The monthly core data recorded a +0.3%, exceeding expectations of +0.2%.
European stock markets rounded off increases together with futures on Wall Street after American inflation in August proved to be in line with expectations, growing year-on-year by 3.4% in the main data and 2.4% in the 'core' data, net of the cost of food and energy goods. Milan gains 1.1%, London and Paris 0.8%, Frankfurt 0.7% while futures on the Nasdaq advance by 0.8% and the S&P 500 by 0.7%.
The performance of bonds is divergent: the slightly above-expected month-on-month growth of the 'core' part (+0.3% compared to the +0.2% expected) has prompted bets on a rate increase by the Fed at next week's meeting, which the market is now discounting at 90%, pricing in two rate increases within the year. The yields on two-year bonds are thus rising slightly (+1 basis point to 4.6% for two-year Treasuries) while those on longer-term maturities are falling (-2 basis points to 4.94% for 10-year bonds). Ten-year BTPs also fell slightly, dropping two basis points to 4.362%, while the spread with the Bund dropped two basis points to 86 basis points.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Fed meeting next week
Very likely · Within weeks

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Inflation in the United States remained stable in August at 3.4%, in line with market expectations. The increase on a monthly basis is 0.4%, while the core index, excluding energy and food, stands at 2.4%.

European stock markets advance by 0.6% awaiting US inflation data. Oil recorded a decline, with the WTI below $100, while government bond yields showed stability in view of the Fed's decisions.