
AI-generated summary
The election for the government of Goiás in 2026 is being monitored by Lula's campaign due to possible influence on the national scene, especially in relation to the support of figures such as Ronaldo Caiado for Bolsonarist candidates.
The campaign of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) is following with special attention the election for the government of Goiás, this Sunday (4).
Polls have shown a strong possibility of a second round between governor Daniel Vilela (MDB), who is leading the dispute, and senator Wilder Morais (PL), who has appeared slightly ahead of Marconi Perillo (PSDB).
Vilela is supported by Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), for whom he was vice-president, while Morais is an ally of Flávio Bolsonaro (PL).
The PT members' assessment is that, in a scenario in which Vilela and Morais face each other, Caiado will not enter Flávio's campaign head-on. The current governor should use as a campaign line the fact that he is moderate, against the extremism of his Bolsonaro opponent.
The Lulistas' hope is that, at most, Caiado would give protocol support to the PL presidential candidate, with the justification of helping to remove Lula from power.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
There will be a second round for the government of Goiás between Daniel Vilela and Wilder Morais.
Likely · Within days
Ronaldo Caiado will not strongly support Flávio Bolsonaro in the event of a second round.
Possible · Within weeks

Research commissioned by Globo and Folha de S.Paulo interviewed 2,002 voters aged 16 or over between October 2nd and 3rd, with a margin of error of two percentage points and a confidence level of 95%. The survey was registered with the TSE under protocols RJ-01334/2026 and BR-07933/2026. To win in the first round, a candidate needs 50% of the valid votes plus one vote, excluding blanks, invalid votes and abstentions.

According to the TSE, 83.24% of voters in Baixada Santista and 94.87% in Vale do Ribeira have biometrics registered, totaling more than 1.4 million eligible voters. 2,380 military police officers will provide security. g1 published a guide with rules: mandatory photo ID, ban on electronics, use of 'electoral glue' and applications such as e-Título and Pardal for reporting.

Quaest survey released on the eve of the 1st round shows Delegate André David (Republicans) with 20% and Rogério Carvalho (PT) with 19% leading the dispute for valid votes for the Senate in Sergipe, with 52% undecided in the spontaneous survey.

Quaest survey released this Saturday (3) shows Nicoletti (PL) and Teresa Surita (MDB) technically tied with 26% and 25% of valid votes, respectively, for the Senate in Roraima. Helena da Asatur (PSD) appears with 19% and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) with 15%. The survey interviewed 1,800 voters between October 2 and 3, with a margin of error of 2 percentage points and a confidence level of 95%.

Quaest survey released this Saturday (3) shows Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) with 35% and Capitão Contar (PL) with 32% of the valid votes for the Senate in Mato Grosso do Sul, followed by Soraya (PSB) with 16% and Vander Loubet (PT) with 10%. The survey interviewed 1,800 voters between October 2 and 3, with a margin of error of 2 percentage points and a confidence level of 95%.

Quaest survey released this Saturday shows Carol De Toni (PL) ahead with 30% of the valid votes for the Senate in Santa Catarina, followed by Carlos Bolsonaro (PL) with 24% and Esperidião Amin (PP) with 20%. The two with the most votes win, without a second round. 63% of voters are undecided in the spontaneous poll.