Celina Leão leads the race for the GDF with 55% of voting intentions, according to Datafolha

On the eve of the first round of the election, governor Celina Leão (PP) leads the dispute for Government of the Federal District with 55% of valid voting intentions, according to a new Datafolha survey released this Saturday (3). Second place is Leandro Grass (PT), who accounts for 27% of the mentions.

The survey also shows Paula Belmonte (PSDB) with 10%. Further down are Kiko Caputo (Novo) with 4%, Cappelli (PSB) with 2%, Professor Samara Mineiro (UP) with 1%, and Professor Robson Raymundo (PSTU) with 1%.

The Datafolha survey was commissioned by TV Globo and Folha and interviewed 1,620 voters from all regions of the Federal District between Friday (2) and Saturday (3). The margin of error for valid votes is plus or minus four percentage points. The survey is registered with the Electoral Court under codes DF-07243/2026 and BR-09812/2026.

To calculate valid votes, blank votes, invalid votes and voters who declare themselves undecided are excluded. The procedure is comparable to that used by the Electoral Court to count and publish the official election results. In this cut-off, the margin of error is four percentage points.

In the latest Datafolha survey, published on Thursday (1st), Celina had 53% of valid voting intentions, while Grass scored 26%. Paula Belmonte had 10% of mentions and Cappelli, 3%.

The research shows that Celina would win the second round contest with 56% of the total votes (when undecided voters and those who will vote blank and invalid are taken into account), against 31% for Grass. 9% say they vote blank or null, and 3% don't know.