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BackFed升息循環未完!美元走強 新台幣貶破31.8元
Fed升息循環未完!美元走強 新台幣貶破31.8元
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自由时报1 hour agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

Fed升息循環未完!美元走強 新台幣貶破31.8元

Quick Look

聯準會會議紀錄釋放偏鷹訊號,美債殖利率與美元雙雙走高,新台幣兌美元匯率應聲貶破31.8元,最低觸及31.885元。台股早盤走跌,外資連續兩日賣超,市場重新評估Fed維持高利率更久的可能性。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

聯準會會議紀錄顯示多數官員認為今年底前可能需要再升息,官員對通膨降溫進展仍缺乏信心。

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Fed升息循環未完!美元走強 新台幣貶破31.8元(記者陳梅英攝)

〔記者陳梅英/台北報導〕聯準會會議紀錄釋放偏鷹訊號,美債殖利率與美元雙雙走高,美股四大指數收黑,台股早盤也走跌,新台幣兌美元匯率應聲貶破31.8元,最低觸及31.885元,逼近31.9元。

新台幣中午暫收31.876元,貶值8.1分,台北外匯經紀公司成交量9.7億美元。

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聯準會會議紀錄顯示,多數官員仍認為今年底前可能需要再升息,加上官員對通膨降溫進展仍缺乏信心。近期受到勞動數據轉弱及聯準會官員偏鴿談話影響,市場對Fed 10月升息預期已大幅降溫,但會議紀錄顯示,升息循環尚未完全結束,促使市場重新評估Fed維持高利率更久的可能性,帶動美債殖利率與美元走高,美股則受到利率上升及高估值壓力收黑。

新台幣今天以31.82元、貶2.5分開出,受到美元買盤增加影響,匯價一路走低,盤中最低觸及31.885元,重貶近1角。

除了美股收黑的外部壓力,台股逼近5萬點大關後高檔震盪,加上明日國慶日補休,外資已連續兩日賣超,市場高檔獲利了結氣氛濃厚,也使多頭操作轉趨謹慎,進一步壓抑新台幣走勢。午後新台幣能否跌破31.9元,外資動向以及央行態度將成為市場觀察焦點。

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 新台幣匯率將在短期內持續承壓,或測試31.9元關卡

    Likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • 央行是否會介入穩定新台幣匯率?
  • 外資賣超趨勢是否會持續至國慶後?

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