
Codacons' analysis of the impact of conflict-related inflation on consumption
According to Codacons calculations based on ISTAT inflation, the war in Iran will cause estimated increases in prices from 667 to 1,415 euros per year for Italian families depending on their composition and professional status.
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The analysis is based on estimated ISTAT inflation data and Codacons spending projections following the outbreak of the conflict in Iran.
Rain of price increases due to the war in Iran: on the basis of the inflation acquired by Istat for the whole of 2026 and considering the total annual consumption expenditure of the various types of families, - calculates Codacons - the impact of the price increases triggered since the beginning of the conflict will lead a pensioner who lives alone to spend a total of 667 euros more than last year with the same consumption (and assuming that prices remain at current levels).
For a single person under 35, the additional cost will be 704 euros, while a couple without children will have to take into account 1,167 euros more at the end of the year. For a single-parent family, the annual expense will be higher by 976 euros, which rises to +1,281 euros for a couple with one child and reaches 1,415 euros if there are two dependent children.
But the increases in prices and tariffs also have a different weight depending on the main source of income of a family - reveals Codacons - Based on the classification of the professional condition of the head of the family as defined by Istat, an unemployed person would find himself spending +701 euros at the end of 2026, which becomes +936 euros if the main salary in the house is that of a worker, +1,259 euros for a manager or a manager, +1,616 euros for an entrepreneur or freelancer.

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The high energy costs due to the conflict in Iran have cost Italian families and businesses 16.5 billion euros more than in February, according to CNA. Fuels weigh the most, with historic peaks for diesel.

According to Codacons calculations based on Istat inflation, the impact of the price increases linked to the war in Iran will lead to increased costs for Italian families from 667 euros for a single pensioner up to 1,415 euros for a family with two children.

Despite the price cap decided by Eni and other companies, Italian families and businesses will spend 1.1 billion more in October on petrol and diesel compared to last year. This was revealed by the CGIA of Mestre.
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