Quaest for the Senate in Pará: Helder, 25%; Delegate Éder Mauro, 15%; Chicao, 15%; Zequinha, 10% — Photo: Reproduction
Quaest research released this Saturday (26) shows how the dispute for the Senate is going in Pará. The survey was commissioned by TV Liberal.
In 2026, two senators will be elected in each state and in the Federal District, to renew 54 of the 81 seats. Therefore, each voter must vote for two different candidates. You cannot choose the same name twice.
In Quaest's spontaneous survey — in which the names are not shown to voters interviewed — 69% are undecided, because they were unable to name a candidate.
In the stimulated survey, the list of candidates is shown, and each interviewee needs to answer twice for who they intend to vote for: for the first vacancy and, then, for the second vacancy.
The results of the survey for the Senate consider the mentions for the first and second vacancies in a total that adds up to 100% of voting intentions and maintains the proportion between candidates, blanks/nulls and undecided candidates. See the numbers below:
Combination - total votes
Helder (MDB): 25% (was 23% on August 29)
Delegate Éder Mauro (PL): 15% (was 14%)
Chicão (UNIÃO): 15% (was 5%)
Zequinha Marinho (Podemos): 10% (was 11%)
Celso Sabino (PDT): 5% (was 7%)
Gizelle Freitas (PSOL): 1% (was 2%)
Lívia Noronha (Solidarity): 1% (was 1%)
Colonel Jonildo (DC): 1% (was not in the previous survey)
Fernanda Lopes (UP): 0% (was 1%)
Breno Guimarães (Mobiliza): 0% (was 0%)
Marcelino Conti (PSOL): 0% (was 1%)
Edlaine Rodrigues (Democrat): 0% (was 0%)
White/null/will not vote: 11% (was 12%)
Undecided: 16% (was 23%)
Now, see the results that only consider the answers for the first wave and then for the second.
First wave
Helder (MDB): 36%
Delegate Éder Mauro (PL): 20%
Chicão (UNIÃO): 11%
Zequinha Marinho (Podemos): 10%
Celso Sabino (PDT): 2%
Gizelle Freitas (PSOL): 1%
Lívia Noronha (Solidarity): 1%
Colonel Jonildo (DC): 0%
Fernanda Lopes (UP): 0%
Breno Guimarães (Mobiliza): 0%
Marcelino Conti (PSOL): 0%
Edlaine Rodrigues (Democrat): 0%
Blank/null/will not vote: 9%
Undecided: 10%
Second wave
Chicão (UNIÃO): 19%
Helder (MDB): 14%
Delegate Éder Mauro (PL): 11%
Zequinha Marinho (Podemos): 11%
Celso Sabino (PDT): 7%
Gizelle Freitas (PSOL): 1%
Lívia Noronha (Solidarity): 1%
Colonel Jonildo (DC): 1%
Fernanda Lopes (UP): 1%
Breno Guimarães (Mobiliza): 0%
Marcelino Conti (PSOL): 0%
Edlaine Rodrigues (Democrat): 0%
Blank/null/will not vote: 13%
Undecided: 21%
For 67% of voters interviewed in the survey, the choice of candidate is definitive. Another 33% say they can still change their vote until the elections on October 4th.
Quaest interviewed 804 people aged 16 and over between the 22nd and 25th of September. The margin of error is three percentage points, plus or minus, and the confidence level is 95%. The TSE registration number is PA-07042/2026.
Spontaneous survey numbers
Below, see the complete data from the spontaneous survey.
Helder (MDB): 10% (was 6% on August 29)
Delegate Éder Mauro (PL): 6% (was 3%)
Chicão (UNIÃO): 6% (was 1%)
Zequinha Marinho (Podemos): 5% (was 2%)
Celso Sabino (PDT): 2% (was 1%)
Marcelino Conti (PSOL): 0% (was 0%)
Colonel Jonildo (DC): 0% (was not in the previous survey)
Breno Guimarães (Mobiliza): 0% (was 0%)
Edlaine Rodrigues (Democrat): 0% (was 0%)
Fernanda Lopes (UP): 0% (was 0%)
Gizelle Freitas (PSOL): 0% (was 0%)
Lívia Noronha (Solidarity): 0% (was 0%)
Blank/null/will not vote: 2% (there were 4)
Undecided: 69% (was 83%)
Rejection of candidates
Quaest also asked voters about each of the candidates: if they know them and would vote, if they don't know them or if they know them and wouldn't vote. The most rejected candidates (highest rates of "know and wouldn't vote") are Helder (MDB) and Delegado Éder Mauro (PL).
Helder (MDB)
Knows and would vote: 52% (was 56% on August 29)
Don't know: 8% (was 9%)
Know and wouldn't vote: 40% (was 35%)
Delegate Éder Mauro (PL).
Knows and would vote: 38% (was 36% on August 29)
Don't know: 29% (was 30%)
Knows and would not vote: 33% (was 34%)
Chicão (União)
Knows and would vote: 33% (was 14% on August 29)
Don't know: 41% (was 62%)
Knows and would not vote: 26% (was 24%)
Zequinha Marinho (Podemos)
Knows and would vote: 29% (was 25% on August 29)
Don't know: 44% (was 44%)
Knows and would not vote: 27% (was 31%)
Celso Sabino (PDT)
Knows and would vote: 19% (was 17% on August 29)
Don't know: 57% (was 57%)
Knows and would not vote: 24% (was 26%)
Livia Noronha (Solidarity):
Knows and would vote: 6% (was 4% on August 29)
Don't know: 85% (was 85%)
Knows and wouldn't vote: 9% (was 11%)
Gizelle Freitas (Psol):
Do you know and would vote: 5% (it was 6% on August 29)
Don't know: 86% (was 86%)
Knows and wouldn't vote: 9% (was 8%)
Conti (Psol):
Do you know and would vote: 3% (it was 3% on August 29)
Don't know: 85% (was 85%)
Knows and wouldn't vote: 12% (was 12%)
Colonel Jonildo (DC):
Know and would vote: 3%
Don't know: 88%
Know and wouldn't vote: 9%
Edlaine Rodrigues (Democrat):
Do you know and would vote: 2% (it was 2% on August 29)
Don't know: 91% (was 91%)
Knows and wouldn't vote: 7% (was 7%)
Fernanda Lopes (UP):
Do you know and would vote: 2% (it was 2% on August 29)
Don't know: 92% (was 92%)
Knows and wouldn't vote: 6% (was 6%)
Breno Guimarães (Mobiliza):
Do you know and would vote: 0% (it was 3% on August 29)
Don't know: 92% (was 92%)
Knows and wouldn't vote: 8% (was 5%)
