Quaest survey shows Dr Daniel leading the race for the government of Pará with 41%

Dr Daniel on the left; and Hana Ghassan, right. — Photo: Reproduction

Quaest research released this Saturday (26) shows how the dispute for the government of Pará is going. The survey was commissioned by TV Liberal.

See below the results of the stimulated survey, in which Quaest shows the list of candidates to the voters interviewed.

Dr Daniel (Podemos): 41% (it was 28% in August)

Hana Ghassan (MDB): 32% (was 27%)

Araceli Lemos (PSOL): 2% (it was also 2%)

Well Macedo (PSTU): 1% (was 2%)

Gal Leite (UP): 1% (was 2%)

Ruth Reis (Democrat): 0% (was not in the previous survey*)

Undecided: 17% (was 29%)

White/null/will not vote: 6% (was 9%)

*Ruth Reis became a candidate for the Democrats after issues related to the electoral domicile of the then candidate, José Moita.

For 72% of voters interviewed in the survey, the choice of candidate is definitive. Another 28% say they can still change their vote until the elections on October 4th.

Quaest interviewed 804 people aged 16 and over between the 22nd and 25th of September. The margin of error is three percentage points, plus or minus, and the confidence level is 95%. The TSE registration number is PA-07042/2026.

Spontaneous survey numbers

Quaest also shows the results of the spontaneous poll, in which the names of the candidates are not shown to voters.

Dr Daniel (Podemos): 23% (it was 14% in August)

Hana Ghassan (MDB): 19% (was 12%)

Araceli Lemos (PSOL): 0% (was 0%)

Gal Leite (UP): 0% (was 0%)

Well Macedo (PSTU): 0% (was 0%)

Ruth Reis (Democrat): 0%

Undecided: 54% (was 69% in August)

Blank/null/will not vote: 2% (was 3%)

2nd round scenarios

The research features a 2nd shift simulation. The data is below:

Dr Daniel (Podemos): 47% (it was 36% in August)

Hana Ghassan (MDB): 36% (it was also 36% in August)

Blank/null/none: 8% (was also 8%)

Undecided: 9% (was 20%)

Main problem of the state

Quaest asked voters what the state's main problem is. See the most cited themes.

Health: 37%

Violence: 12%

Infrastructure: 7%

Unemployment: 5%

Savings: 5%

Corruption: 4%

Education: 3%

Floods: 2%

Poverty/Inequality: 2%

Others: 13%

None: 1%

Don't know or didn't answer: 9%

Candidate rejection rate

Quaest also consulted voters about each of the candidates: if they know them and would vote, if they don't know them or if they know them and wouldn't vote. The most rejected candidates (highest rates of "know and wouldn't vote") are Dr Daniel (Podemos) and Hana Ghassan (MDB).

Dr Daniel (We can)

Knows and would vote: 51% (was 35% in August)

Don't know: 25% (was 44%)

Knows and would not vote: 24% (was 21%)

Hana Ghassan (MDB)

Knows and would vote: 41% (was 33% in August)

Don't know: 27% (was 43%)

Knows and would not vote: 32% (was 24%)

Araceli Lemos (Psol)

Do you know and would vote: 6% (it was 5% in August)

Don't know: 81% (was 82%)

Knows and wouldn't vote: 13% (was 13%)

Well Macedo (PSTU)

Do you know and would vote: 4% (it was 3% in August)

Don't know: 89% (was 90%)

Knows and wouldn't vote: 7% (was 7%)

Ruth Reis (Democrat)

Know and would vote: 3%

Don't know: 90%

Know and wouldn't vote: 7%

Gal Leite (UP)

Knows and would vote: 1% (it was 1% in August)

Don't know: 94% (was 93%)

Knows and wouldn't vote: 5% (was 6%)

Government Approval and Assessment

The survey also shows how the government is evaluated and the approval and disapproval rates.

Hana Ghassan government approval

Approves: 47% (previously 51%)

Disapprove: 25% (was 22%)

Don't know/didn't answer: 28% (was 27%)

Government assessment

Positive: 35% (previously 36%)

Regular: 30% (was 31%)

Negative: 16% (was 13%)

Don't know/didn't answer: 19% (was 20%)

Does Helder deserve to elect a successor?

Yes, it deserves it: 52% (previously 53%)

No: 38% (was 38%)

Don't know/didn't answer: 10% (was 9%)