CBRT Sectoral Inflation Expectations Report Has Been Published
While the inflation expectations of market participants and households increased, the expectations of the real sector decreased.
Quick Look
According to the CBRT Sectoral Inflation Expectations report; The annual inflation expectation after 12 months increased to 23.70% for market participants and 45.60% for households, while it decreased to 32.50% for the real sector.
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Why It Matters
CBRT published the Sectoral Inflation Expectations report with Market Participants Survey, Economic Tendency Survey and TURKSTAT data.
The Sectoral Inflation Expectations report, compiled from the data of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) Market Participants Survey, Economic Tendency Survey and Household Expectations Survey conducted in cooperation with the Turkish Statistical Institute, has been published.
According to the report, the expectations of financial and real sector experts, manufacturing industry companies and households regarding annual consumer inflation in the next 12 months have changed in different directions.
EXPECTATIONS OF MARKET PARTICIPANTS HAVE INCREASED
Annual inflation expectation after 12 months increased by 0.01 point compared to the previous month for market participants and rose to 23.70 percent.
Household inflation expectations increased by 0.02 points to 45.60 percent. The real sector's expectation decreased by 0.30 points to 32.50 percent.
CHANGE IN ANNUAL EXPECTATIONS
When compared on an annual basis, the inflation expectation of market participants, which was 22.25 percent in September last year, increased to 23.70 percent in September this year.
The real sector's expectation decreased from 36.80 percent in September 2025 to 32.50 percent, and the household's expectation decreased from 52.99 percent to 45.60 percent.
THE PROPORTION OF HOUSEHOLDS EXPECTING INFLATION TO FALL HAS DECREASED
The rate of households expecting inflation to decrease in the next 12 months decreased by 0.60 points compared to the previous month and reached 16.25 percent.
Open Questions
- How will household inflation expectations progress in the coming months?




