Support for Trump is at historic lows: Election alarm for Republicans

Public support for US President Donald Trump's performance in office has fallen to a new low ahead of the upcoming Congressional midterm elections.

According to the survey conducted by Reuters/Ipsos and completed on Monday, October 19, the percentage of Americans who approve of Trump's presidential performance dropped to 31 percent. This rate was the lowest level of support recorded during Trump's two presidential terms.

In the four-day survey, support for Trump decreased by 1 point compared to two weeks ago, and voters' discomfort with high gasoline prices and economic conditions came to the fore.

The survey also asked about party preferences regarding the Congress elections on November 3.

47 percent of registered voters said they would vote for the Democratic Party, and 35 percent said they would vote for the Republican Party. Thus, the advantage of Democrats over Republicans reached 12 points.

This difference attracted attention as the highest level recorded in the current election period.

In the Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted two weeks ago, the voting support of Democrats was measured as 44 percent and that of Republicans was 37 percent. The latest research showed that the difference between the two parties increased from 7 points to 12 points in a short time.

SUPPORT FOR DEMOCRATS INCREASED AMONG WOMEN VOTERS

The research revealed that female voters played an important role in the decline in support for Republican candidates.

While 50 percent of female voters stated that they would vote for Democratic Party candidates, the rate of those who preferred Republicans remained at 32 percent.

Democrats were also ahead among male voters, but the difference between the two parties was more limited compared to female voters.

Survey results showed that the change in voter preferences was especially evident among women.

It was stated that the decline in Trump's public support was affected by the rising energy prices following the military attacks launched by the USA and Israel against Iran's nuclear facilities in February.

The increase in gasoline prices following the war increased the daily living costs of Americans and increased the pressure on household budgets.

68 percent of those participating in the survey reported that they disapproved of Trump's economic management. Among voters who stated that they were Republicans, this rate was measured as 37 percent.

When asked which party they trust more in managing the economy, 40 percent of participants preferred Democrats and 33 percent preferred Republicans.

THE MAJORITY IN CONGRESS MAY BE IN DANGER

The survey results increased the importance of the upcoming elections for Republicans, who hold the majority in both houses of Congress.

If Democrats gain a majority in the House or Senate, it could complicate legislative action in the final two years of Trump's term.

However, it is noted that surveys measuring party preferences across the country do not directly reflect election results.

Since Congressional elections in the USA are held on the basis of states and constituencies, national vote rates do not show the exact distribution of seats.

Especially in Senate elections, the political structure of the states and the performance of the candidates can be decisive.

DETAILS OF THE SURVEY ARE ANNOUNCED

The Reuters/Ipsos survey was conducted online.

A total of 1,679 adults participated in the survey, including 1,279 registered voters.

The margin of error of the survey was announced as approximately 2 points for all participants and 3 points for registered voters.

In the midterm elections to be held on November 3, votes will be cast for the entire House of Representatives and approximately one-third of the seats in the Senate.

The election results will determine how the Trump administration's relations with Congress will shape over the next two years.