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Back2026年8月營建業營業氣候測驗點轉為下滑,營造業受惠科技廠辦與公建表現持平
2026年8月營建業營業氣候測驗點轉為下滑,營造業受惠科技廠辦與公建表現持平
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自由时报1 hour agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

2026年8月營建業營業氣候測驗點轉為下滑,營造業受惠科技廠辦與公建表現持平

不動產業景氣明顯走弱影響測驗點連4揚後下滑,但營造業在科技廠辦及大型公共建設支撐下未來半年可望成長

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2026年8月營建業營業氣候測驗點結束連4個月上揚轉為下滑,主因不動產業走弱。然而營造業受惠預售建案交屋及科技廠辦、大型公共建設等工程施工,表現持平,未來半年在AI擴建與軌道工程挹注下預期將逐步成長。

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Why It Matters

2026年8月營建業營業氣候測驗點結束連續4個月上揚轉為下滑,主要受不動產景氣明顯走軟影響。

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科技廠辦與大型公共建設可望成為未來半年營造業的重要支撐。

2026年8月營建業營業氣候測驗點結束連續4個月上揚,轉為下滑,主要受到不動產業景氣明顯走弱影響。不過,營造業表現相對穩定,受惠預售建案陸續完工交屋,以及商辦、公辦都更、社會住宅與高科技廠房工程進入施工階段,8月營造業景氣可視為持平,展望未來半年,則可望在科技廠辦、大型公共建設及軌道工程挹注下逐步成長。

台經院產經資料庫總監劉佩真指出,2026年以來,部分營造業者受到政策、全部完工法及建案規模等因素影響,營建收入認列時程有所遞延,同時仍面臨土方處理成本增加、技術人力短缺,以及塑化相關材料報價走高等挑戰。

不過,隨著旗下預售建案陸續完工交屋並認列收入,加上部分在手商辦、公辦都更、社會住宅及高科技業者廠房擴建工程進入大量施工階段,相關工程進度持續推進,也挹注主要營造廠商8月營收規模穩定成長,因此整體營造業景氣維持平穩。

展望未來半年,劉佩真分析,營造業仍面臨建材成本及房市推案趨於保守等壓力。由於美伊談判多次破裂,中東區域情勢仍存在高度不確定性,鋼筋、瀝青混凝土等建材成本短期內難以快速回到衝突前水準,加上全台營建土石方處理費仍處高檔,營造業成本壓力尚未完全緩解。

另一方面,國內房市持續低迷,部分不動產開發商對後續推案仍採觀望態度,劉佩真表示,既有取得建照的建案也可能待市場出現回溫跡象後再開工,住宅建案新增業務量能因此受到影響。

不過,科技廠辦與大型公共建設可望成為未來半年營造業的重要支撐。2026年以來,國內AI供應鏈業者持續擴大投資,陸續釋出無塵室主系統機電統包及既有廠房改建工程,推升相關營造業者在建工程水位。

公共建設方面,政府配合產業園區發展,持續規劃聯外道路及交流道新建工程,隨著相關工程陸續完成主體及細部設計並正式動工,公部門工程規模也可望增加。

此外,2026年第4季起,國內重大軌道建設工程計畫預計在北、中、南各地持續推進,相關機電系統及土建統包工程陸續完成決標並進入前期施工階段,將為營造業帶來新的工程需求。

整體而言,營造業短期仍須面對住宅推案減少、建材及土方成本偏高等壓力,但隨著AI產業擴建、科技廠辦、公共建設及軌道工程陸續進場,預期未來半年營造業景氣仍以成長看待。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 營造業未來半年在科技廠辦、大型公共建設及軌道工程挹注下逐步成長

    Likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • 未來半年建材成本與土方處理費是否會進一步攀升?
  • 國內房市低迷態勢將持續多久?

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