Wu Derong: In the next few days, the high temperature in Taiwan will be above 36 degrees, and the tropical system in Guam will develop into a large typhoon with no chance of invading Taiwan.

Wu Derong pointed out that the latest track potential forecast map of the Meteorological Administration (left) shows that No. 25 Central Station Shuliji is in the sea south of Japan and continues to weaken; the latest European model ensemble simulation (right) shows that there is a tropical system brewing east of Guam and will develop into a large typhoon. (Picture taken from the column of Leaking Tianji Classroom)

Wu Derong, an adjunct associate professor at the Department of Atmospheric Science of Central University, pointed out that today and tomorrow (29th and 30th) the high temperature will reach over 36 degrees in various places; the northeast monsoon will strengthen next week, rain will turn to the windward side, and the temperature will gradually drop; the tropical system near Guam will develop into a large typhoon, and there is no chance of invading Taiwan, but it remains to be seen.

Wu Derong said in the Meteorological Application Promotion Foundation's "Tianji Classroom" column today that the latest (20:00 on the 28th) European (ECMWF) model simulation shows that today and tomorrow will be affected by high pressure, and the weather will continue to be sunny and stable in various places. The highest temperature in Taiwan during the day will reach 36 degrees, with hot days and slightly cool nights. The temperature difference between day and night is large. Be careful about ultraviolet rays around noon, which have reached excessive and dangerous levels.

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Wu Derong pointed out that the latest model simulation shows that the moisture will increase slightly on Thursday (October 1), and it will still be sunny and cloudy in various places. There will be occasional local short-term rainfall in the mountainous areas in the afternoon; the temperature in northern Taiwan will drop slightly, and it will still be hot in various places during the day and cooler in the morning and evening.

From Friday to next Sunday (October 2 to 4), moisture will increase, with occasional localized short-lived rains in the northern and eastern half, and localized short-lived rains in the mountainous areas in the afternoon. The temperature drops slightly, with the central and southern parts still being hot during the day and cooler in the morning and evening in various places. Next Monday (5th) the northeast monsoon will strengthen, rain will turn to the windward side, and the temperature will gradually drop.

Wu Derong analyzed that the latest (at 2:00 on September 29) path potential forecast map of the Meteorological Administration shows that No. 25 Station Shuliji is in the sea south of Japan, continues to weaken, and is heading northeast, some distance away from Japan.

Wu Derong said that the latest European model ensemble simulation shows that there is a tropical system brewing east of Guam and will develop into a large typhoon. The simulated path has the highest probability of being northerly and there is no chance of invading Taiwan. However, the model will continue to adjust and remains to be seen.