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BackWu Jingyi analyzes the focus of the Sichuan-Xi meeting: Taiwan independence discussion and key issues of arms sales
Wu Jingyi analyzes the focus of the Sichuan-Xi meeting: Taiwan independence discussion and key issues of arms sales
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自由时报1 hour agoPolitics2 min readChinaView original

Wu Jingyi analyzes the focus of the Sichuan-Xi meeting: Taiwan independence discussion and key issues of arms sales

Quick Look

  • Media person Wu Jingyi pointed out that US President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet in Washington.
  • The focus will not be on the length of the handshake or the smile, but on Trump’s choice of words to discuss Taiwan independence, whether the US$14 billion arms sales to Taiwan are blocked, and whether Taiwan’s purchased weapons can be delivered normally.
  • She emphasized that the key to Taiwan's security lies in improving its defense capabilities, international connections and strategic value, so that anyone must calculate the cost of attacking Taiwan.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

U.S. President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet in Washington. Topics include discussion of Taiwan independence, arms sales to Taiwan and Iran. Media person Wu Jingyi pointed out that Beijing is using the Iran card to exert pressure in an attempt to obtain concessions on arms sales to Taiwan and to test the bottom line of the United States' defense commitment to Taiwan.

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U.S. President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet in Washington this week, attracting global attention. Media person Wu Jingyi pointed out that the real thing to watch in this Trump-Xi meeting is not how long the two people shake hands or how happy they smile, but what words Trump chose to use in his final discussion on Taiwan independence? Will US$14 billion in arms sales still be stuck? Can the weapons purchased by Taiwan be delivered as usual? Wu Jingyi also emphasized that Taiwan’s true security is for the Republic of China to have sufficient defense capabilities, international connections and strategic value, so that everyone must clearly decide whether they can afford to pay any price.

Wu Jingyi pointed out in a Facebook post that the "Taiwan deal" between Trump and Xi will surface? Beijing uses the "Iran card" in exchange for Trump's suspension of arms sales to Taiwan. Could the US$14 billion in arms sales become a bargaining chip?

Please read on...

Wu Jingyi bluntly said that the Trump-Xi meeting has not yet appeared. What does Xi Jinping really want to take away from Trump? The outline is getting clearer and clearer! What Beijing is testing this time is probably not just Trump’s bottom line, but how far the United States is willing to defend Taiwan.

Wu Jingyi said that a few days ago, what Beijing wanted was a few words from Trump's mouth, trying to make the United States move from "not supporting Taiwan independence" to "opposing Taiwan independence"; now, what Beijing wants to interfere with is Taiwan's weapons! According to the latest exclusive disclosure by Reuters, Xi Jinping is expected to invoke the 1982 August 17th Communique to ask Trump to stop arms sales to Taiwan. He even wants the United States to stop the weapons that Taiwan has purchased and is waiting for delivery. What is even more sensitive is that sources revealed that Beijing even offered to assist the United States in putting pressure on Iran in exchange for concessions from Washington on the issue of arms sales to Taiwan.

Wu Jingyi analyzed that the political red line should first be tested by whether "not supporting Taiwan independence" can turn into "opposing Taiwan independence"; and then whether the pending arms sales of US$14 billion can continue to be stuck; now even whether the purchased weapons can be delivered normally may be brought to the negotiation table. The most troublesome thing for Taiwan is that Trump himself has long said that this batch of arms sales to Taiwan is a good "negotiation bargaining chip."

Wu Jingyi pointed out that when Iran, AI, rare earths, tariffs and Taiwan are on the negotiation table at the Trump-Xi meeting at the same time, will Trump think that delaying an arms sale to Taiwan can be exchanged for another result that is more in line with the interests of the United States? In this Trump-Xi meeting, what Taiwan really wants to pay attention to is not how long the two people shake hands or how happily they smile, but what words Trump chose to use in his final discussion on Taiwan independence? Will US$14 billion in arms sales still be stuck? Can the weapons purchased by Taiwan be delivered as usual? Beijing is testing America’s red lines step by step, moving from words to weapons, from political statements to substantive defense.

Wu Jingyi emphasized that Taiwan’s true security is for the Republic of China to have sufficient defense capabilities, international connections and strategic value. Anyone who wants to put Taiwan on the negotiating table must first figure out whether he can afford to pay any price.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • After the Trump-Xi meeting, Trump will maintain that he "does not support Taiwan independence" but will avoid using the words "oppose Taiwan independence"

    Likely · Within days

  • US$14 billion in arms sales to Taiwan will face delays, but will not be completely canceled

    Possible · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • How will Trump express his stance on Taiwan independence after the meeting?
  • Will the US$14 billion arms sales to Taiwan be postponed or cancelled?
  • Can the weapons purchased by Taiwan be delivered as scheduled?
  • Will Beijing really use the Iran issue as a quid pro quo?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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