AfD remains the strongest force in MV, but its lead is fading - SPD is catching up

Just a few days before the state elections, there are signs of a real election crime in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. In the latest Insa survey for “Bild”, the AfD can assert itself as the strongest force, but continues to lose its lead over the SPD.

In the survey, the AfD gained one point and now has 37 percent. The SPD under Prime Minister Manuela Schwesig gained two points and thus reached 35 percent. As a reminder: In an Insa survey for the “Nordkurier” from March, the AfD was still eight percentage points ahead (AfD: 34 percent, SPD: 26 percent). Within a few months, Schwesig's party was able to gain almost ten percentage points.

The left, which governs with the SPD, loses one point and gets ten percent. The opposition CDU remains unchanged and continues to reach seven percent. The Greens are also still at five percent and could therefore just manage to get back into the Schwerin state parliament. With three percent, however, the BSW would clearly miss out.

According to the survey, it would not be enough for an AfD sole government. The current alliance between the SPD and the Left would also no longer have a majority. If the Greens manage to get into the Schwerin state parliament, a red-red-green coalition would be possible. Apart from the AfD, it would not be enough for other coalitions because the CDU also rules out alliances with the Left Party.

Another aspect of the survey is noteworthy: Less than a quarter of those surveyed (24 percent) want to see the CDU with its top candidate Daniel Peters in government. The SPD got 58 percent on the question, the AfD 41 percent. The Left – currently in government in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania – achieved 33 percent here.

For the current survey, Insa interviewed a total of 1,000 people between September 8th and 15th.