
AI-generated summary
After an initial drop of 8% in July, the flagship index of the South Korean Stock Exchange is now trading almost 40% below its June record. US inflation in September at 3.7% revives bets on a rate hike at the end of October.
Rebelote in Seoul. The Kospi plunged by more than 7% this Thursday, October 15, the day after higher-than-expected American inflation. Automatic sales were suspended for five minutes from 9:08 a.m. in Seoul.
After an initial drop of 8% in July, the flagship index of the South Korean Stock Exchange is now trading almost 40% below its June record. Bitcoin slides towards $80,000 in its wake.
Key Points
The Kospi reached 5,571 points during the session, down 7.28%.
Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix fell as much as 8.2% and 10.8%.
US inflation in September at 3.7% revives bets on a rate hike at the end of October.
Bitcoin lost around 3.6% in 24 hours, around $80,800.
Kospi: American inflation reignites the fuse
Everything happened the day before, in Washington. The consumer price index released Wednesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows 3.7% year-on-year in September, compared to 3.4% in August and a consensus of 3.6%. Wall Street has digested it badly. The Nasdaq lost 1.9% and Nvidia more than 3%, against a backdrop of growing doubts around the financing of AI.
The sanction falls at the opening in Seoul. The Kospi starts at 5,673 points (-5.6%). The selling sidecar is triggered at 9:08 a.m. (a five-minute pause imposed on scheduled orders when futures contracts fall more than 5%). The index reached 5,571 points around 10:15 a.m., or 7.28% less than the day before. Samsung Electronics lost up to 8.2% and SK Hynix up to 10.8%.
Foreigners sell. According to BeInCrypto, they offloaded 285.6 billion won of shares at the start of the session. The rise of the Chinese CXMT in memory chips is also weighing on the two Korean giants, which had carried most of the increase in 2026. This is the sixth session of decline in a row.
Bitcoin (barely) holds $80,000
Cryptos did not wait for Seoul to fold. As soon as the CPI was published on Wednesday, bitcoin fell below $83,000 and ether below $2,500. Thursday morning, BTC is trading around $80,800 according to CoinGecko, down 3.6% over 24 hours, after a low of $80,444. It thus evolves almost 36% below its ATH of 126,080 dollars.
The $80,000 threshold is its 50-day moving average. But it is especially the Fed that is worrying. According to the CME's FedWatch tool, the probability of a 25 basis point hike at the October 27-28 meeting increased from 21.6% to 32.7% after the inflation release. A tightening Fed means less liquidity for risky assets, and the market continues to place bitcoin in this box.
Nothing to do with the end of July, when bitcoin gained 1% while Seoul completed two historic circuit breakers.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its meeting on October 27-28.
Likely · Within days

The ounce of gold and bitcoin fell after the announcement of US inflation at 3.7% in September, exceeding the 3.6% forecast. This acceleration, driven by gasoline prices, increases the likelihood of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve.

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The Seoul Stock Exchange fell 5.46% on Tuesday, dragging the Kospi below 6,000 points and triggering a circuit breaker mechanism. At the same time, bitcoin fell to $81,200, with $771 million in positions liquidated in the crypto market in 24 hours, mainly due to margin calls. Foreign investors have sold Korean stocks en masse, while doubts over OpenAI's revenues, the end of share buybacks and the rise of China's CXMT in memory chips have amplified the pressure. A technical rebound followed the statements of John Williams of the New York Fed, but the vulnerability persists before the publication of the American CPI at 2:30 p.m. Paris time.

Before the Fed meeting on October 27 and 28, the markets are awaiting the September American CPI at 2:30 p.m. in Paris, the results of Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and BlackRock before the opening of Wall Street, then the Fed's Beige Book at 8 p.m. in Paris, in a context of uncertainty over the continuation of rate increases.

The US Treasury fined Bank of America more than $1.2 billion for willful violations of the Bank Secrecy Act, linked to more than $5 billion in unreported or late suspicious flows involving risks related to Russia, Iran, terrorism and drug trafficking, with failures in its anti-money laundering software Event Processor set too high from 2018 to 2023.

Juan Curutchet, a senior official at the Argentine Central Bank, announced that no authorization for cryptocurrencies will be granted before 2028, conditioning this change on a re-election of President Javier Milei.