
The report from the Polytechnic University of Milan highlights a persistent gap with Europe and the need for more incisive support policies.
The Smart Mobility 2026 report from the Polytechnic University of Milan indicates that, despite the recovery, Italy will only reach 3.1 million electric cars by 2030, far from the 6.6 million expected by the Pniec, due to uncertain policies and a lack of economic models.
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The Pniec (National Integrated Plan for Energy and Climate) establishes the decarbonisation objectives for Italy by 2030.
Electric mobility is growing again in Italy, but the pace remains insufficient to reach the objectives set for 2030. With the current trajectory, at the end of the decade, just 3.1 million electric cars would be circulating in the country, less than half of the 6.6 million indicated by the Pniec.
This is one of the data that emerges from the Smart Mobility 2026 report by Energy&Strategy of the School of Management of the Polytechnic of Milan. After a negative 2024, last year Italian registrations of electric cars reached around 193 thousand units: 98 thousand full electric (Bev) and 95 thousand plug-in hybrids (Phev). The market share thus rose to 12.6%, approximately 5 percentage points more than in 2024.
However, the gap with the rest of Europe remains wide. Also considering the United Kingdom and EFTA countries, approximately 3.9 million electric cars were registered in 2025, of which 2.6 million BEVs and 1.3 million PHEVs. The market share reached 26.8%, from 22.7% the previous year: more than double that of Italy.
Infrastructure is also growing. At the end of 2025, Europe had around 1.3 million public charging points, 23% more than the previous year, while in Italy there were 77 thousand, an increase of 17%, with a progressive growth in fast charging stations.
However, the recovery is not enough to make up for the accumulated delay. In the Business as Usual scenario developed by the Polytechnic, maintaining the current pace of development, Italy would reach 3.1 million electric cars by 2030. With more incisive support policies, the figure would rise to 3.6 million in the Boosted scenario and 4.2 million in the Decarbonization scenario. In all cases, we would therefore remain far from the 6.6 million envisaged by the Pniec.
“The data clearly shows how the electric mobility market is still rather policy-driven,” underlines Vittorio Chiesa, director of Energy&Strategy and responsible for the report. “To accelerate”, he adds, “stability, clarity and multi-year support mechanisms are needed, while uncertainty over the revision of regulations reduces predictability for investors”.
Another issue concerns the offer. In June 2026, 183 BEV models were available on the Italian market, 49% more than the previous year, but 68% belong to the medium-high C-F segments. Segments A and B therefore remain relatively uncovered, those of smaller and more accessible cars, where the pressure of Chinese manufacturers is increasing. In 2025, car imports from China to the European Union reached 13.8 billion euros, resulting in a negative balance of 5.4 billion for the first time.
Among the levers indicated by the report there are also company fleets, which are worth 46% of Italian registrations and travel on average three times more kilometers than private cars. But electrification is still limited: according to a survey conducted on 219 companies, Bev and Phev represent 25% of the fleets analyzed and in 2025 44% of companies have not registered even one fully electric car. Of those who use them, however, 79% declare that they would include them in their fleet again and 60% note economic benefits.

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