André Moura, Delegate André David, Rogério Carvalho and Delegate Alessandro — Photo: Montagem g1
Quaest research released this Thursday (24) shows how the dispute for the Senate is going in Sergipe. The survey was commissioned by TV Sergipe.
In 2026, two senators will be elected in each state and in the Federal District, to renew 54 of the 81 seats. Therefore, each voter must vote for two different candidates. You cannot choose the same name twice.
In Quaest's spontaneous survey — in which the names are not shown to the voters interviewed — 58% are undecided, because they were unable to name a candidate. In the last survey it was 79%.
In the stimulated survey, the list of candidates is shown, and each interviewee needs to answer twice for who they intend to vote for: for the first vacancy and, then, for the second vacancy.
The results of the survey for the Senate consider the mentions for the first and second vacancies in a total that adds up to 100% of voting intentions and maintains the proportion between candidates, blanks/nulls and undecided candidates. See the numbers below:
Combination - total votes
André Moura (União Brasil): 12% (was 9% on August 27)
Delegate André David (Republicans): 11% (was 11%)
Rogério Carvalho (PT): 10% (was 11%)
Delegate Alessandro (MDB): 10% (was 8%)
Eduardo Amorim (Republicans): 8% (was 7%)
Rodrigo Valadares (PL): 5% (was 7%)
Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT): 5% (was 6%)
Coronel Rocha (PL): 2% (was 2%)
Iran Barbosa (PSOL): 1% (was 2%)
Renatinha (Christian Democracy): 1% (was 1%)
Blank/null/will not vote: 17% (was 13%)
Undecided: 18% (was 22%)
Now, see the results that only consider the answers for the first wave and then for the second.
First wave
André Moura (União Brasil): 15% (it was 9% on August 27)
Delegate André David (Republicans): 13% (was 16%)
Rogério Carvalho (PT): 13% (was 12%)
Delegate Alessandro (MDB): 10% (was 9%)
Eduardo Amorim (Republicans): 7% (was 8%)
Rodrigo Valadares (PL): 6% (was 7%)
Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT): 4% (was 6%)
Coronel Rocha (PL): 2% (was 2%)
Iran Barbosa (PSOL): 1% (was 2%)
Renatinha (Christian Democracy): 0% (was 1%)
Blank/null/will not vote: 14% (was 9%)
Undecided: 15% (was 18%)
Second wave
André Moura (União Brasil): 9% (it was 9% on August 27)
Delegate Alessandro (MDB): 9% (was 7%)
Delegate André David (Republicans): 8% (was 7%)
Rogério Carvalho (PT): 8% (was 9%)
Eduardo Amorim (Republicans): 8% (was 7%)
Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT): 3% (was 6%)
Rodrigo Valadares (PL): 3% (was 6%)
Coronel Rocha (PL): 3% (was 3%)
Iran Barbosa (PSOL): 2% (was 2%)
Renatinha (Christian Democracy): 2% (was 1%)
Blank/null/will not vote: 20% (was 16%)
Undecided: 22% (was 26%)
For 67% of voters interviewed in the survey, the choice of candidate is definitive. In the last survey it was 57%. Another 33% say they can still change their vote until the elections on October 4th. The latest survey recorded 43%.
Quaest interviewed 804 people aged 16 and over between the 20th and 23rd of September. The margin of error is 3 percentage points, plus or minus, and the confidence level is 95%. The TSE registration number is SE-09343/2026 and BR-01422/2026.
Spontaneous survey numbers
Below, see the complete data from the spontaneous survey.
André Moura (União Brasil): 6% (it was 3% on August 27)
Rogério Carvalho (PT): 6% (was 4%)
Delegate Alessandro (MDB): 5% (was 3%)
Delegate André David (Republicans): 4% were 3%)
Eduardo Amorim (Republicans): 3% (was 2%)
Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT): 2% (was 2%)
Rodrigo Valadares (PL): 2% (was 1%)
Iran Barbosa (PSOL): 1% (was 0%)
Coronel Rocha (PL): 1% (was 0%)
Renatinha (Christian Democracy): 0% (was 0%)
Blank/null/will not vote: 12% (was 3%)
Undecided: 58% (was 79%)
Rejection of candidates
Quaest also asked voters about each of the candidates: if they know them and would vote, if they don't know them or if they know them and wouldn't vote. The most rejected candidates (highest rates of "know and wouldn't vote") are Rodrigo Valadares and Eduardo Amorim.
André Moura (União Brasil)
Knows and would vote: 33% (was 24% on August 27)
Don't know: 27% (was 38%)
Knows and would not vote: 40% (was 38%)
Delegate André David (Republicans)
Knows and would vote: 32% (was 29% on August 27)
Don't know: 42% (was 45%)
Knows and would not vote: 26% (was 26%)
Rogério Carvalho (PT)
Knows and would vote: 29% (was 29% on August 27)
Don't know: 36% (was 38%)
Knows and would not vote: 35% (was 33%)
Delegate Alessandro (MDB)
Do you know and would vote: 28% (it was 24% on August 27th)
Don't know: 44% (was 48%)
Knows and wouldn't vote: 28% (was 28%)
Eduardo Amorim (Republicans)
Knows and would vote: 26% (was 26% on August 27)
Don't know: 32% (was 35%)
Knows and would not vote: 42% (was 39%)
Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT)
Knows and would vote: 22% (was 17% on August 27)
Don't know: 48% (was 58%)
Know and wouldn't vote: 30% (was 25%)
Rodrigo Valadares (PL)
Do you know and would vote: 16% (it was 18% on August 27th)
Don't know: 40% (was 43%)
Knows and would not vote: 44% (was 39%)
Colonel Rocha (PL)
Knows and would vote: 7% (was 6% on August 27)
Don't know: 71% (was 78%)
Knows and wouldn't vote: 22% (was 16%)
Iran Barbosa (PSOL)
Do you know and would vote: 7% (it was 8% on August 27th)
Don't know: 64% (was 68%)
Knows and wouldn't vote: 29% (was 24%)
Renatinha (Christian Democracy)
Knows and would vote: 22% (was 2% on August 27)
Don't know: 85% (was 89%)
Knows and wouldn't vote: 13% (was 9%)
