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Back熱帶性低氣壓TD29預計明增強為第25號颱風舒力基,可能影響台灣
熱帶性低氣壓TD29預計明增強為第25號颱風舒力基,可能影響台灣
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自由时报yesterdayWeather1 min readChinaView translation

熱帶性低氣壓TD29預計明增強為第25號颱風舒力基,可能影響台灣

Quick Look

熱帶性低氣壓TD29預計於23日早上增強為第25號颱風「舒力基」,目前位於關島附近海面,氣象專家指出受環境導引氣流影響,未來有朝台灣方向移動趨勢,下週二至三有機會受其外圍環流影響。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

熱帶性低氣壓TD29於22日上午8時位於北緯12.5度、東經142.0度,即關島附近海面,以每小時14公里速度向西北移動。

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熱帶性低氣壓「TD29」最快明增強為第25號颱風「舒力基」,首報路徑朝東南方海域接近。(圖擷自中央氣象署)

熱帶性低氣壓「TD29」形成,氣象署預估最快明(23日)早增強為第25號颱風「舒力基」,首報路徑朝東南方海域接近;氣象專家賈新興提醒,受到環境導引氣流影響,未來有朝台灣方向移動的趨勢。

根據中央氣象署觀測顯示,熱帶性低氣壓「TD29」,今(22日)上午8點的位置在北緯12.5度、東經142.0度,也就是在關島附近海面,過去以每小時14公里的速度,向西北進行。氣象署預估「TD29」在24小時內有發展為輕度颱風的趨勢,若成颱將命名「舒力基」。

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台灣整合防災工程技術顧問公司總監賈新興指出,舒力基颱風生成後,受到環境導引氣流影響,未來有朝台灣方向移動的趨勢,依目前預報顯示,下週二(29日)午後至下週三(30日)台灣有受其外圍環流或環流影響的機率。

賈新興表示,影響正好落在收假後的第一個上班工作日,需密切關注其後續動態,他強調最關鍵觀察指標:就是「太平洋高壓的勢力強度」以及「向西延伸的幅度」,後期變數仍大,需持續密切追蹤。

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 熱帶性低氣壓TD29將於23日早上增強為第25號颱風『舒力基』

    Very likely · Within hours

  • 颱風舒力基未來有朝台灣方向移動的趨勢

    Possible · Within days

  • 下週二(29日)午後至下週三(30日)台灣有受其外圍環流或環流影響的機率

    Possible · Within days

Open Questions

  • 颱風舒力基是否會直接登陸台灣?
  • 太平洋高壓的強度和西向延伸幅度將如何變化?
  • 颱風對台灣的具體影響程度為何?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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