A newspaper quoted American intelligence sources as saying that Iran now has high confidence in its military capabilities in the face of Washington, and that this change in the balance of power increases the pressure on the American administration, as Iran believes that it is able to strike American interests in the Middle East with precision, while the Iranian leadership seeks to prolong the confrontation in order to exhaust the American opponent and thwart its plans before the midterm elections in November, in light of a military escalation that began in February and a renewed exchange of strikes despite the ceasefire in June.
AI-generated summary
The military escalation began on February 28, when the United States and Israel launched attacks on targets inside Iranian territory. Tehran responded to those attacks, and despite signing a memorandum to stop hostilities in mid-June, the exchange of strikes resumed.
The newspaper quoted American intelligence sources as saying that Tehran now has high confidence in its military capabilities in the face of Washington, and that this change in the balance of power increases the pressure on the American administration, as Iran believes that it is capable of striking American interests in the Middle East region with precision.
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The Iranian leadership also seems determined to prolong the confrontation for months to come, with the aim of exhausting the American opponent and thwarting his plans on the threshold of the midterm elections in November.
These data reveal a new Iranian strategy that relies on deliberate escalation. The Iranian public realizes that Washington is facing difficulty in launching intense air strikes due to the depletion of its stock of weapons and ammunition.
This field reality strengthens Tehran's position and places it in a position of equal to equal. On the other hand, this political stalemate and the absence of any signs of an immediate solution will directly affect the Republican Party, threatening its chances in the midterm congressional elections scheduled for November.
In light of this escalation, US President Donald Trump had admitted in previous statements that he did not know the deadline for ending this conflict. Also, the economic sanctions imposed by Washington, which Trump has always “sung” about as an economic pressure card, may backfire in the short term and contribute to inflaming the situation at the expense of calm.
The spark of the crisis goes back to the military escalation that began on February 28, when the United States and Israel launched attacks on targets inside Iranian territory, and Tehran responded to those attacks. Despite the signing of a memorandum to stop hostilities between the two sides in mid-June, the exchange of strikes resumed, leaving the conflict without a settlement or resolution in sight.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The Iranian leadership will continue to prolong the confrontation for months to come with the aim of exhausting the American opponent
Likely · Within months
The economic sanctions imposed by Washington may backfire in the short term and contribute to inflaming the situation at the expense of calm
Possible · Short term

The possibility of reaching an imminent agreement to end the conflict again between the United States and Iran seems unlikely, as the two sides exchange blows and use hard-line rhetoric, after the United States imposed a comprehensive economic blockade against Iran, and the memorandum of understanding signed by the two parties last June, which was supposed to lead to a permanent ceasefire within 60 days, expired.
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A month-long lull in fighting between Iran and the United States has ended with renewed exchanges of fire, with attacks focusing on military targets and avoiding civilians, while experts warn of the risk of miscalculation that could lead to all-out war as both sides' depleted military and economic stockpiles, rising fuel prices in the United States and pressure on Iran's battered economy.
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