AfD gains, Union loses - majority rejects very high levels of debt

In a current survey, the AfD is again well ahead of the Union. If there were a federal election on Sunday, the AfD would get 28 percent – ​​two percentage points more than in the previous month, according to the ZDF “Political Barometer” from the elections research group. The Union loses one point and would get 22 percent.

The SPD also lost one point and now has 13 percent. The Greens would gain two points and would now be in third place with 15 percent. The left falls by one point to 10 percent. With 3 percent, the FDP would still miss out on entering parliament.

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All other parties together would come to nine percent. According to the survey, the current black-red government coalition still does not have a majority.

Survey results from the ZDF “Politbarometer” at a glance:

AfD: 28 percent (+2)

CDU/CSU: 22 percent (-1)

Greens: 15 percent (+2)

SPD: 13 percent (-1)

Left: 10 percent (-1)

FDP: 3 percent (+/-)

Other: 9 percent (-1)

Majority rejects very high levels of debt

The 2027 federal budget includes new debts of around 210 billion euros. A majority of 59 percent reject taking on such high debts in the ZDF “Politbarometer”, 32 percent think it is right. The rest said “don’t know.”

The rejection of AfD supporters is particularly clear (95 percent), but a majority in the Union camp is also against it (54 percent; in favor: 42 percent). SPD supporters are more in favor of it (47 percent; against: 36 percent). The views among supporters of the Greens and the Left are rather divided.

To close the budget gaps, 61 percent advocate budget savings, 21 percent are in favor of increasing taxes and duties - and only nine percent think additional debt makes sense.

A Forsa survey for RTL and ntv published on Tuesday had already shown a clear lead for the AfD. Accordingly, the party got 27 percent, while the Union was at 20 percent. The SPD achieved 13 percent, the Greens 16 percent. Dissatisfaction with Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU) was also high: 86 percent of those surveyed were dissatisfied with his work, including 56 percent of Union supporters.

Election surveys are generally always subject to uncertainty. Among other things, weakening party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected.

From November 10th to 12th, 1,297 randomly selected eligible voters were surveyed by telephone and online for the ZDF “Political Barometer”. The survey is representative of the population eligible to vote in Germany. The error range is around three percentage points for a share value of 40 percent and around two percentage points for a share value of 10 percent.