Insa survey sees AfD in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania at 37 percent

According to the representative Insa survey, the AfD has 37 percent. The SPD gains again and reaches 35 percent. The other parties therefore follow at a large distance. The left comes to ten percent. The CDU is still stuck at just seven percent - similar to recently published surveys by other opinion research institutes. It would be the worst result in a state election since the founding of the Federal Republic.

According to the survey for “Bild”, the Greens would just cross the five percent threshold with five percent. The BSW comes to three percent and would therefore miss out on entering the state parliament.

In the 2021 state elections, the Social Democrats were the strongest force with 39.6 percent. At that time, the AfD got 16.7 percent, the CDU 13.3, the Left 9.9, the Greens 6.3 and the FDP 5.8 percent of the vote.

Since then, Schwesig has ruled the country together with the left. According to the survey, a red-red coalition would no longer be possible. Together with the Greens, the existing government parties could mathematically continue to govern. It would not be enough for an AfD sole government.

In a survey by Infratest dimap on behalf of ARD, the SPD in MV recently got 33 percent behind the AfD with 38 percent. The elections research group on behalf of ZDF saw the SPD at 34 percent and the AfD at 37 percent. In both surveys the CDU was also at 7 percent. The Left Party got 9 percent in Infratest dimap and 10 percent in the Elections Research Group. The Greens were at 5 percent in both surveys, the BSW at 4 percent.

Election surveys are generally always subject to uncertainty. Among other things, weakening party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for pollsters to weight the data collected. In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the election outcome.